Archive for the ‘PaanLuel Wël’ Category

Newly minted political asylums:The released political detainees are: former cabinet affairs minister Deng Alor Kuol; former minister of telecommunications and postal services Madut Biar Yel; former youth minister Dr. Chirino Hiteng; former finance minister Kosti Manibe; former roads and transport minister Gier Chuang Aluong; former justice minister John Luk Jok, and former Lakes state governor Chol Tong Mayai; while those who remain in detention are: Pagan Amum Okiech, former secretary-general of the ruling SPLM party; Oyai Deng Ajak, former minister for national security; Majak D’Agoot, former deputy minister of defence and Ezekiel Lol Gatkuoth, former South Sudanese ambassador to the United States.

Newly minted political asylums:The released political detainees are: former cabinet affairs minister Deng Alor Kuol; former minister of telecommunications and postal services Madut Biar Yel; former youth minister Dr. Chirino Hiteng; former finance minister Kosti Manibe; former roads and transport minister Gier Chuang Aluong; former justice minister John Luk Jok, and former Lakes state governor Chol Tong Mayai; while those who remain in detention are: Pagan Amum Okiech, former secretary-general of the ruling SPLM party; Oyai Deng Ajak, former minister for national security; Majak D’Agoot, former deputy minister of defence and Ezekiel Lol Gatkuoth, former South Sudanese ambassador to the United States.

By PaanLuel Wel

During the transitional period, Comrade Oyai Deng Ajak was accused of organizing a military coup to instal Madam Nyandeng Garang in power; after independence, he is being charged with participating in a coup to put Dr. Riek Machar in power…same person making the accusations…Yet, it is him, Oyai Deng Ajak, more than anybody else, that the SPLM/A honored with leading its most prized military campaign of its revolutionary war–Operation Jungle Storm of the Bright Star Campaign…the campaign to wrestle Juba from Khartoum…

Somebody somewhere is either jealous of his chequered records or damn afraid of him or both…What is Nyandeng and Riek to Oyai that he would risk his life to put them into power? If he were such a hire-mercenary as the gov’t of President Kiir would want us to believe, wouldn’t he have been hired first by his own kinsman, Dr. Lam Akol, in 1991? It is high time President Kiir retires from making a fool of himself and of the historical SPLM/A.

The Eleven Detainees, SPLM top party officials detained in the wake of the 15 December 2013 Juba Mutiny

The Eleven Detainees, SPLM top party officials detained in the wake of the 15 December 2013 Juba Mutiny

If people like Oyai, Pagan and Majak could be humiliated on baseless and ridiculous charges…more of an inside job than otherwise…what would prevent such heroes as Hoth Mai, Mamur Mete etc from such humiliation? The only crime committed by patriots like Oyai and Pagan was their failure to follow their tribesman–Dr. Lam Akol–in 1991, for they would have been Kiir’s heroes today…

Dr. Majak D’agoot, who has been accused of planning military coups on as many occasions as the number of times Peter Gadet has rebelled against Juba, should rather have gone with his uncle Akuot Atem Mayen or with Arok Thon Arok…he would have been a hero today…Mamur should have gone with the Equatorian Defense Forces…and Hoth Mai with Riek or Nyuon Bany…and both will have been heroes by the time they would later be accused of carrying out a fictitious coup.

But then, what would have become of our revolutionary struggle? Of freedom? Of all the sacrifices made by previous generations before August 1991? This is what comrade Kiir has forgotten, once he arrived in freedom. Still, the cabals around the President have nothing to offer the country other than confusions, suspicions, death, destructions and wars; inevitably, the successor to President Kiir will comes from among, besides Wani Igga and Riek, these guys being humiliated today.

By then, it will have to be investigated afresh how many troops, mobilized for the coup, were commanded by Pagan, Oyai, Majak–i.e how many Chollo, Twic East Dinkas did join Riek Machar and the White Army against the gov’t–failure of which someone around the President or even the President himself would have to be held responsible for endangering national security, lest some future leaders would be tempted to do the same.

The released political detainees are: former cabinet affairs minister Deng Alor Kuol; former minister of telecommunications and postal services Madut Biar Yel; former youth minister Dr. Chirino Hiteng; former finance minister Kosti Manibe; former roads and transport minister Gier Chuang Aluong; former justice minister John Luk Jok, and former Lakes state governor Chol Tong Mayai; while those who remain in detention are: Pagan Amum Okiech, former secretary-general of the ruling SPLM party; Oyai Deng Ajak, former minister for national security; Majak D’Agoot, former deputy minister of defence and Ezekiel Lol Gatkuoth, former South Sudanese ambassador to the United States.

The released political detainees are: former cabinet affairs minister Deng Alor Kuol; former minister of telecommunications and postal services Madut Biar Yel; former youth minister Dr. Chirino Hiteng; former finance minister Kosti Manibe; former roads and transport minister Gier Chuang Aluong; former justice minister John Luk Jok, and former Lakes state governor Chol Tong Mayai; while those who remain in detention are: Pagan Amum Okiech, former secretary-general of the ruling SPLM party; Oyai Deng Ajak, former minister for national security; Majak D’Agoot, former deputy minister of defence and Ezekiel Lol Gatkuoth, former South Sudanese ambassador to the United States.

Our historical heritage, embodied in our revolutionary struggle…our nation, and our future….is greater than one fleeting leader…Salva Kiir will go as Garang did and so will others who will follow them…but our heritage, nation and future will remain…for us and our children’s children…President Kiir should do himself a favor by releasing the remaining political detainees…it is a national shame that our heroes should be seeking political asylum in foreign capitals, 2 years into our independence…and sadly for a crime wholly own by Riek and Kiir…and their armed forces…

Pagan Amum Okiech, former secretary-general of the ruling SPLM party

Pagan Amum Okiech, former secretary-general of the ruling SPLM party

YES, the detainees are corrupt and have utterly failed RSS…but who is not corrupt in Juba? Who haven’t betrayed the spirit and the letter of our liberationary struggle? who haven’t failed the Republic of South Sudan? If corruption is the yardstick to determine the most qualified candidates for the guillotine, who is more royal than the king in the king-court, to borrow Dr. Lam Akol phrase?

The king and the would-be king…having led the messy RSS for the last 9 years…shud have been the first to face the music, not the mere courtiers caught in the act of bemoaning…decrying…king’s nakedness…

How President Kiir Set Himself Up for Trouble

By PaanLuel Wël, Kampala, Uganda

One month into the political, military and humanitarian crisis in South Sudan, and peace is still a distant chimera to the beleaguered souls caught up in the vicious conflict across the country. One glimmer of hope, so far, is that the recently drafted (and signed) agreement on cessation of hostilities between the Government of the Republic of South Sudan (GRSS) and the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement/Army in Opposition (SPLM/A in Opposition) would offer a viable solution to the burgeoning conflict in South Sudan.

In the event that the “Draft Agreement on Cessation of Hostilities between the Government of the Republic of South Sudan (GRSS) and the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement/Army in Opposition (SPLM/A in Opposition)” is endorsed (and respected) by both parties, the next step would be to find a feasible political solution to the military and humanitarian crisis in the country.

Surely, much will depend on the hard political and military compromises that the GRSS under President Kiir and the SPLM/A in Opposition under Dr. Riek Machar are, and will be, prepared to make. But if the post-1991 Nasir Coup negotiations between the SPLM/A under Dr. John Garang (led by James Wani Igga) and the Nasir group under Dr. Riek Machar (led by Dr. Lam Akol) are anything to go by, South Sudanese people will have a long way to go before trust and peace is restored, again, in their beloved country.

Failure to Prepare is Preparing to Fail: Political Doom Road to December 15th

The crisis that erupted on Sunday, 15 December 2013, was, and still is, a political crisis, not a military one, and should therefore be seen from the perspective, and solved within the prism, of South Sudanese political discourse. With the benefit of hindsight, one could argue that the current political crisis began way back in 2005—15 July 2005, to be precise—when the late SPLM/A leader, Dr. John Garang, reconfigured the SPLM/A Leadership in preparation for the post-CPA era, by dissolving all the SPLM institutions—The SPLM Political Bureau, the SPLM National Liberation Council, the SPLM National Executive Committee and the SPLA staff command structures.

Failure to reconfigure the SPLM/A leadership, Garang had reasoned, would have meant that the “composition of the Government of Southern Sudan would logically follow the rank in the SPLM/A Leadership Council in total disregard to merit and other considerations.” In other words, appointment would have been based on the bush seniority within the SPLM/A irrespective of merit and experience, gender equity and ethnic consideration. Reportedly, Salva Kiir was outraged by Garang’s decision to dissolve the SPLM/A Leadership Council, and he strongly condemned the Chairman. When Salva Kiir took over as the SPLM/A Chairman, President of GOSS and the First Vice President of the Republic of the Sudan, after the death of Dr. John Garang, his first official decree was an immediate reinstatement of the dissolved SPLM/A Leadership Council.

Over the years—prior to and after the independence of South Sudan—President Kiir has been appointing government officials virtually from the wartime SPLM/A Leadership Council—the SPLM Politburo and the SPLM/A National Liberation Council, plus the SPLA. Over the years President Kiir has been appointing and dismissing these powerful members of the party as his “constitutional prerogatives” dictate. While there have been “Thank-giving” parties whenever he decrees in ministers, assistant ministers or other government appointees, there have also been grudges and bitterness whenever he decrees them out. And because these are the same members—of the SPLM Politburo and the National Liberation Council—charged with the election of the party leader/chairman, it was just a matter of time before the dismissed members would gang up and exact their political vendetta on the President—and they did, much to the tripedation of the entire country.

All that these embittered members needed to avenge their dismissal was a tool to use against the President. That is how Dr. Riek Machar came into the picture. Dr. Machar is blessed with a strong dosage of high political ambitions, and thus he is invariably on the lookout for political opportunities to exploit. Not only that, he had his own political grudges to settle with the President. In the lead up to South Sudan independence in 2011, for instance, President Kiir had given the impression, or so thought Dr. Machar, that he would voluntarily retire to his Akon village in Warrap State as soon as South Sudan’s independence was declared. Dr. Machar was visibly elated and strove to make it his habit to make it known to anyone—most of whom were the expats community he was dying to endear himself to—with time and ear to listen to his recital that “he is the next President of the Republic of South Sudan.” Ngundeng might have been right after all, he must have thought to himself.

After independence, however, President Kiir—prompted by Dr. Machar’s and the expats community’s endless talk of his immediate and unconditional political departure to his home village of Akon—made it publicly clear that there was no vacancy at the Presidency and anyone who want the seat must wait for his/her time. South Sudan has never been the same again, since that day. The charismatic and fiercely nationalistic SPLM Secretary General, Pagan Amum, and the loquacious Mother of the Nation, Madam Rebecca Nyandeng, both of whom have been positioning themselves to take on Dr. Riek Machar—the duo, like Dr. Machar, were convinced beyond any reasonable doubt that President Kiir meant his words when he promised to retire after serving one term—were thrown into total political confusion. Instead of Dr. Machar, it was President Kiir that they turn their blazing guns on.

Dr. Machar, Pagan Amum and Madam Nyandeng—in collusion with the disgruntled, former cabinet members dismissed by President Kiir—ganged up in preparation for the SPLM party National Convention. Each of these individuals—Dr. Machar, Pagan Amum, Madam Nyandeng and the disgruntled ex-members of Kiir’s cabinet—had their own respective political grievances to settle with the President. It was a marriage of political convenient conceived in hell. President Kiir, finding himself outnumbered and outmaneuvered within the SPLM Politburo, panicked and called off the party National Convention. He called it off again and again and again, hoping to buy time and possibly salvage his dwindling political fortune. Dr. Machar, Pagan and Nyandeng overtly came out questioning President Kiir’s ability to manage the country, upping the political pressure on the President, prompting him to dismiss his entire cabinet in July 2013. Pagan Amum, the vocal Party Secretary General, was suspended and placed under House Arrest—he was barred from talking to the media or leaving the country. Dr. Machar was dismissed from the post of the Vice President; however, it had to be done indirectly—sacking of the entire cabinet—for fear of engendering a tribally motivated negative and/or violent reaction to his dismissal.

But the dismissal of the entire cabinet, majority of whom never made it back to the government, only increased the numbers of President Kiir’s enemies within the SPLM Politburo, the very organ charged with electing the party chairman. The exact trouble that Dr. John Garang had attempted to avoid had, by then, become the living nightmare for President Kiir. With the numbers of President Kiir’s political opponents burgeoning within the critical party structure—the SPLM Politburo—President Kiir’s hope of retaining his prized post of party chairmanship was doomed or so he had then concluded. Consequently, President Kiir undertook exactly the very action that he had, 8 years earlier, censured Dr. John Garang for: he dissolved all the SPLM party structures with the exception of his post—the chairmanship.

The dissolution of the SPLM party structures by President Kiir, unlike the one undertaken by Dr. John Garang in 2005, was meant to serve three main purposes: firstly, to get rid of the party organs, particularly the SPLM politburo, that have been taken over by his political antagonists; secondly to further frustrate his political opponents so as to force them out of the party, and thirdly, having rid the party of his political challengers, to restructure and reconstitute the party organs, staffing it with allies, to ensure his success at the party to-be-choreographed chairmanship contest.

To Kiir’s utter surprise, his opponents made it publicly clear that they would rather fight their political wars within, not outside, the party. Not only that, they went as far as accusing the President, in a televised Conference, of having abandoned the party vision, principles and mission in preference to taking orders from Khartoum, listing Kiir’s indifference to the conduct, and results, of the Abyei referendum exercise as the key case in point. President Kiir’s allies sardonically dismissed their Conference as a futile work of disgruntled political opportunists. “Growing disenchantment and international criticism created fertile ground for opportunists masquerading as democrats,” whispered President Kiir’s ally.

Incentivization of Violent Rebellion: Military Doom Road to December 15th

As President Kiir’s bungled wrestling with his political foes within the ruling SPLM party widened and heightened, he turned to the army to leverage its influence for his own political survival. But to his dismay, the army—including his own Presidential Guards—was numerically dominated by soldiers from the Nuer ethnic group, the community his main nemesis, Dr. Machar, hails from. Again, the domination of the army by one ethnic group, like President Kiir’s failure to steer the main organ of the party to his favor, was a lapse of reasoning and a case study of poor foresight on the part of the President. Like most perils confronting President Kiir these days, it all goes back to the time of Dr. John Garang, when the late SPLM/A leader, on the eve of CPA, commenced South-South Dialogue and Reconciliation Process. The SPLM/A—convinced that there would never be a long lasting peace, political stability and sustainable economic development in South Sudan with Khartoum-backed militias strolling the countryside—undertook a serious and sincere peaceful dialogue to strike political and military solutions to the problems among Southern Sudanese.

When President Kiir took over from Dr. John Garang in August 2005, he continued and even sped up the South-South Dialogue—much to his credit and legacy in the eyes of most South Sudanese people who have long borne the brunt of the wars. But President Kiir strayed away from one fundamental principle of Dr. John Garang: while Dr. John Garang wanted to politically and militarily integrate the various militias in his own (SPLM/A’s) terms, President Kiir, in what appeared to have been, and continued to be, his eagerness to please, gave in and politically and militarily integrated the militias on their own outrageous terms, much to the consternation of the historical SPLM/A members. And because these Khartoum-armed and –backed militias were overwhelmingly from the Nuer ethnic group—and more so because these militias negotiated and were integrated as separate independent groups and at various times—the SPLA (South Sudan National Army) ended up being dominated by soldiers from the Nuer ethnic community.

It wasn’t so much the goal of these Nuer warlords and militias to take over the SPLA, much less was it carried out as an insurance policy to support Dr. Machar—whom the militias have bitterly fought in the past as fiercely and mercilessly as they have fought the SPLM/A—in his future political and military contests against President Kiir as much as it was simply a self-interested act by the Nuer warlords eager to take home the highest political and military concessions they could squeeze out of President Kiir. In President Kiir the militia warlords got away with more than they had bargained for—military domination of South Sudan armed forces—the SPLA—particularly among the foot soldiers. Of particular interest to December 15th event was the ‘2006 Juba Declaration’ between the renegade militia leader, Paulino Matip, and the Government of Southern Sudan. President Kiir, as part of the deal, appointed Paulino Matip as deputy commander-in-chief of the SPLA, technically taking the bulk of his rebel militias into the elite Presidential Guards unit entrusted with protecting the President. Because of this single benign act by the President, soldiers from the Nuer ethnic group, like in the SPLA, dominated the Presidential Guards unit—the unit that triggered the current evolving civil war in the country.

President Kiir’s eagerness to give blanket amnesty to any militia Deng, Lado and Gatkuoth, instead of seeding long lasting peace, political stability and sustainable economic development across the country as he had hoped for, saw the inflation of violent rebellions, wanton death of civilians, destruction of property and political instability throughout the country. Blanket amnesty had incentivized violent rebellion. That is, in the words of Dr. John Garang, spoken in reference to Southern Sudanese relentless armed rebellion against successive repressive Khartoum regimes, “under these circumstances” in which President Kiir had specialized in granting blanket amnesty to any warlord Deng, Lado and Gatkuoth, “the marginal cost of rebellion in the [Republic of] South [Sudan] became very small, zero or negative; that is, in the [Republic of] South [Sudan] it pays to rebel.”

Thus the main cause of political instability—read armed rebellions—in South Sudan, prior to and after independence, has been the incentivization of violent rebellions in the form of blanket amnesty to any Deng, Lado and Gatkuoth. A mere glance at the composition of the previous and present government of South Sudan, both at the national and state levels, glaringly screams out one fact: there is an incentive to rebel. It pays to rebel and to kill innocent citizens! The sheer immense attractiveness of political reward for unprovoked revolts and ridiculous butchering of innocent unarmed inhabitants is what drive politic and guarantee easy access to both power and wealth in Juba. Where the rule of law is abandoned and political terror recognized and embraced, there is only one outcome: practical people will follow where incentives lead. That, exactly, has been and continues to be the stark reality we grapple with in South Sudan, a natural outcome of a systematic state policy sponsor and sustain by the government of South Sudan.

Sensitive and proud as all soldiers are, what did the President expect the likes of the SPLM/A war veterans to do having just witnessed NCP-allied militias they not-long-ago ferociously fought against being placed above them as their new bosses? The only logical course of action that any disillusioned and miserable soldier can do, of course: find a flimsy pretext, rebel, kill and maim, and then come back, threateningly, in the name of peace and political stability. The case in point is that of Gen. George Athor Deng, an SPLM/A war veteran who had distinguished himself in the battlefield during the war of liberation but who rebelled against the government following the 2010 generation election. Providentially to the Deng, Lado and Gatkuoth of South Sudan, President has been more than ready, willing and able to grant them blanket amnesty in the name of “our national unity” and promote them as rewards for the rebellions and the wanton killings they have been engaging in.

In this Rebonomics—the economy of violent political and military rebellion—South Sudan has witnessed the mushrooming of rebel outfits in the names of South Sudan Democratic Movement/Army (SSDM/A); the South Sudan Liberation Movement/Army (SSLM/A); South Sudan Defence Forces (SSDF), and in the personalities of Paulino Matip Nhial, Gordon Koang Chuol, Peter Gadet Yak, Gabriel Tanginye, Thomas Mabor Dhol, John Duiet Yiech, Bapiny Monytuel Wijang, James Gai Yoach, Gatluak Gai George Athor Deng, David Yau-Yau, Karlo Kuol Ruach, Bol Gatkuoth, Muntu Muntalla Abdallah, Marko Chuol Ruei, Peter Kuol Chol, Thomas Duoth Lam, Mathews Puljang Top and Gordon Buay Malek.

This argument does not entail that one is against the so-called South-South Dialogue if conducted in good faith with the sole target of achieving palpable national unity, long lasting peace and socio-economic development in South Sudan. In fact, President Kiir can be applauded for taking the mantle from the late Dr. John Garang in successfully integrating almost all the NCP-allied militias, a process without which the CPA-mandated Southern referendum—along with the subsequent secession of South Sudan—would not have seen the light of the day. The most imperative thing is that the process of national reconciliation, of which presidential amnesty may be an integral part, should not inevitably tantamount to giving blanket amnesty to every Militia Deng, Lado and/or Gatkuoth. Blanket amnesty rewards evils and incentivizes violent rebellions.

Surely, it may not be the case that these militias certainly take delight in armed revolts or love to kill innocent civilians. It is most likely that they could just be communicating the message in town—give us better positions like what you did to other militias or else we go on killing spree! The necessity for the South-South Dialogue for the sake of national reconciliation and unity should have been balanced by the menace of incentivizing violent rebellion. Otherwise, as Dr. John Garang once opined, “under these circumstances the marginal cost of rebellion in the South became very small, zero or negative; that is, in the South it pays to rebel.”

The bald-faced heedlessness at which President Kiir carried out the military integration of the rebels’ forces into the SPLA led to the domination of the army and the presidential guards by members of one ethnic group—Nuer. What did the President do when he discovered that he was outnumbered and outmaneuvered in both the SPLM and the SPLA? For him, it was too late to change anything in his favor in the two institutions of power within the ruling party or so he seemed to have resigned himself to that conclusion. Instead, he went back to the drawing board and was said to have turned to Governor Malong Awan of Northern Bahr el Ghazal State to launch a new recruitment exercise, mostly targeting local Dinka vigilante group known as Gelweng/Titweng—traditionally, local young Dinka men that organized themselves according to their age group to protect their cattle from Arab militias of Messeryia and Marahlein. Governor Malong Awan—a veteran of the SPLM/A war of liberation and senior member of the ruling SPLM party—was said to have recruited exclusively from Warrap (where the President comes from) and Northern Bahr el Ghazal States. James Hoth Mai, Chief of General Staffs and another veteran of the war and a senior member of the SPLM, was either deliberately kept in the dark or was not directly involved in the recruitment exercise.

After their training sting in Maper (Aweil), Northern Bahr el Ghazal state where Malong Awan is the state Governor, the new recruits, then renamed Gel-beny/Tit-beny (Presidential protectors) were taken to Juba for redeployment. James Hoth Mai, however, was not amused by the arrival of a covert army, and was narrated to have formally objected to their entry into the city, let alone their deployment, on the ground that he was not aware of any newly recruited SPLA soldiers. Gelbeny/Titbeny was reportedly deployed outside the city, at Luri cattle camp owned by the President—his version of President Museveni’s Rwakitura rural sanctuary. And so as President Kiir battle his political rivals within the party, Governor Malong Awan, who recently commandeered the government troops that re-recaptured Bor from the armed forces of the SPLM/A in Opposition, suddenly emerged as the man behind the throne as he became more vocal in his virulent attacks on President Kiir’s real and imagined political enemies—Dr. Machar, Pagan Amum, and Rebecca Nyandeng in addition to the disgruntled ex-members of President Kiir’s cabinet that dominate the SPLM Politburo (SPLM-PB).

When President Kiir’s best bet of forcing his political rivals out of the ruling party faltered through, he turned to and called the SPLM National Liberation Council (NLC) meeting, an action that was said to have breached the party constitution because the NLC could only sit after the SPLM-PB. The NLC, unlike the elitist SPLM-PB, has more members, most of whom have never been part of the government and were therefore trying to curry favor with the President in the hope of getting noticed for future appointments, or simply put, had no deep seated political grudges to settle with the President. Of course, when the NLC meeting convened—scheduled on the same day and hour that President Kiir’s rivals had allotted to their second “public appearance” at Dr. John Garang’s Mausoleum—President Kiir’s political rivals, by virtue of being senior members of the party, showed up for the meeting.

But there, unlike in the SPLA and the SPLM-PB, President Kiir appeared to have done his homework well. His rivals were outnumbered and their proposals were all voted down till they—feeling humiliated and a little bit startled by the turn of events in Kiir’s favor—stormed out of the meeting on the second day. Pagan Amum, the suspended SPLM SG who was supposed to have convened and chaired the party NLC meeting, was barred by police from accessing the venue.

And the Impunity Strikes Back: Corruption Doom Road to December 15th

Much have been said and written about how ungodly and corrupt the entire leadership of the SPLM—the SPLM-in-Government (The SPLM-G) and the SPLM-in-Opposition (the SPLM-O)—has been since the inauguration of the Government of Southern Sudan (GoSS) in 2005 after the signing and promulgation of the Sudan’s Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA). As Governor Chol Tong Mayai—the detained former governor of Lakes State—recently acknowledged in public, it is self-evident that “we have all failed including us seated here (SPLM-O) together with you in government (SPLM-G). It is only our children who are going to study in good schools in East Africa. When we fall sick we are airlifted out of the country. It’s our children who are eating ice cream. The children of the local people are not eating ice cream. Lets us all sit down and have a dialogue and see how to resolve the leadership crisis and see how we can move forward.”

While there had been accusations of financial mismanagements during the SPLM-in-the-Bush (SPLM-B) era under the leadership of the late SPLM/A leader, Dr. John Garang, the first ever recorded allegation of corruption under the leadership of Salva Kiir Mayaardit surfaced in 2006, barely a year into his assumption of the SPLM/A mantle. For instance, the SPLM general secretariat, once in Khartoum, was empowered by the “SPLM’s Strategic Framework for War-to-Peace Transition” document to embark on a nationwide process of membership mobilization—and a serious institutional development within the party—that would have enabled it to win the CPA-mandated general election scheduled at the end of the transitional period. That would have certified the SPLM/A to fulfil its vision of an ANC-styled peaceful dismantling of the Khartoum government and to usher in a democratic transformation of the old Sudan into the New Sudan envisaged by Dr. John Garang.

In furtherance of that objective, the “SPLM-LC decided to contribute (forego) to the SPLM secretariat salaries that would have been paid to the SPLA, CANS, and the NLC during the pre-interim period of six months.” Whereas the total amount payable to the SPLM general secretariat was $378 million, only $60 million was eventually paid in 2006, with the cabal around President Kiir, most of whom had made careers out of opposing Dr. John Garang till his death, pocketing the remaining $318 million meant for refurbishing and the strengthening of the SPLM-B party. Reportedly, it was from the $60 million paid to the SPLM general secretariat in 2006 that Pagan Amum has been accused of having taken about $30 million. Interestingly, it is the damning accusation that President Kiir brought up lately when Madam Rebecca Nyandeng went to meet him after the December 15th mutiny. No one has ever questioned—not even the President himself—where the $318 million went.

Yet, that there would be such kinds of hurried rent-seeking activities under the leadership of President Salva Kiir was greatly baffling, not least because in 2004, during the Rumbek Crisis meeting, Commander Salva Kiir had severely criticized the late Dr. John Garang on the apparent failures of SPLM-in-B to meet its obligations to South Sudanese, particularly on the alleged rampant cases of corruption and false complacency:

…members (SPLA) have formed private companies, bought houses and have huge bank accounts in foreign countries. I wonder what kind of system we are going to establish in South Sudan?….There are people among us who are more dangerous than the enemy. I must warn the Chairman that Nimeiri was made to be unpopular by his security organs. Those who are misleading you and giving you false security information about others will suffer with you together or leave with you. The government, which is going to be led by you, must include all. Without unity, the agreement will be a source of our disunity. We are not organized in all aspects, and as such will be exploited by other political parties that are more organized. The lack in our structures and political guidance will lead us to a very serious political defeat. Mr. Chairman, you have talked about people eating the boat while we are in the middle of the river. Let me add this; the issue is not eating the boat in the middle of the river. The issue is that there are a few who have already crossed to the other side of the river and when the remaining ones asked them to bring the boat, they refused to return the boat. This is the problem.”

Threats against Dr. John Garang aside, there is every reason to believe that Commander Salva Kiir Mayaardit was calling for transparency, accountability and the strengthening of the SPLM-in-B party in readiness for the CPA era. So when, in the post-Garang SPLM of 2006, the very people who had, in that infamous Rumbek Meeting of 2004, cheered on Commander Salva Kiir to overthrow Dr. John Garang began stealing money meant for revamping the party and President Kiir gave a deaf ear and a blind eye to their sleazy deeds, many observers concluded that Commander Salva Kiir might have been paying a lip service to fighting corruption and was not keen on strengthening the SPLM-in-B to make it a national party, capable of competing and win election against “other political parties that are more organized” in the Sudan.

That conclusion—that President Kiir was never keen on fighting corruption, contrary to his 2004 pronouncements—was confirmed beyond any reasonable doubt in 2007. As a new government starting from scratch, GoSS authorized the Ministry of Finance, then headed by Arthur Akuien Chol, to purchase government vehicles for the ministries and other government institutions. The minister for Finance, on the official advice from the office of the Vice President of GoSS, Dr. Riek Machar, contracted an international company to undertake the purchasing and procurement of the said vehicles. Soon after the cars—all V-8—had arrived in Juba, it transpired that the SPLA military men (James Hoth Mai in particular), also given the green light to purchase and procure their own military vehicles, were intrigued to discover that the price per vehicle paid for by the SPLM was almost ten times that of the SPLA vehicle.

Nhial Bol, the intrepid Editor-in-Chief of the Citizen Newspaper, launched his own investigation into the matter. Not long thereafter, he was arrested after his newspaper exposed a “wasteful spending at the finance ministry, which purchased 153 cars for government officials.” According to Aljazeera, the price tag was $60 million—a staggering $400,000 per vehicle, compare to $45,000 for the military. Arthur Akuien Chol, GoSS first minister for Finance was soon later arrested and incarcerated. Before any formal investigation and trial were to be conducted, however, armed youth from his clan, stormed the state prison, broke in and freed him. He was never brought back to stand trial for the misappropriation of the government funds.

The case of Arthur Akuien Chol—one that happened in a broad daylight and thus formed the bulk of the chitchats during those days, months and years afterwards in government offices, hotels, bars, homes, countryside and even in the sprawling brothels of Juba—set a bad precedence that has been haunting the fight against official corruption ever since. It was as if President Kiir (by failing to punish the youth that broke into a government facility and freed a suspect, by failing to bring back and duly persecute Arthur Akuien Chol) has given a green light to every Deng, Lado and Gatkuoth to embark on a risk-free corruption spree. And indeed every Deng, Lado and Gatkuoth did indulge in rent-seeking activities, spectacularly for that matter. By the time President Kiir wrote an official letter to “75 former and current senior” government officials, May 3rd, 2012:

“An estimated $4 billion are unaccounted for, or simply put, stolen by current and former South Sudan officials as corrupt individuals with close ties to government officials. Most of these have been taken out of the country and deposit in foreign accounts. Some have purchased properties; often paid in cash…the people of South Sudan and the International Community are alarmed by the level of corruption in South Sudan. Many people in South Sudan are suffering, and yet some government officials simply care about themselves. The credibility of our government is on the line…we fought for freedom, justice and equality. Many of our friends died to achieve these objectives. Yet, once we got to power, we forgot what we fought for and began to enrich ourselves at the expense of our people…I am writing to encourage you to return these stolen funds (full or partial) to this account. If funds are returned, the government of the Republic of South Sudan will grant amnesty and will keep your name confidential. I and only one other official will have access to this information.”

The post-independence Salva Kiir writing to “encourage you to return these stolen funds” was surely not—with the benefit of hindsight—the fire-breathing Salva Kiir of 2004. The Salva Kiir of the SPLM-in-B had meticulously inculcated an allergic reaction against all forms of corruptions. The Salva Kiir of the SPLM-in-B was principally aware of, and had declared that there were, some people within the SPLM-in-B more dangerous than the enemy and had sternly warned Dr. John Garang that “those who are misleading you and giving you false security information about others will suffer with you together or leave with you”. The Salva Kiir of the SPLM-in-B had defined the fundamental problem within the SPLM as thus: “Mr. Chairman, you have talked about people eating the boat while we are in the middle of the river. Let me add this; the issue is not eating the boat in the middle of the river. The issue is that there are a few who have already crossed to the other side of the river and when the remaining ones asked them to bring the boat, they refused to return the boat.”

For Salva Kiir who was ready to fight Dr. John Garang for the cause of the South Sudanese people to come around condoning and begging the thieves to return stolen funds was a stark case of compromise becoming divorced from principle. With that puzzling announcement of $4 billion missing, many South Sudanese were, and still are, utterly confused of what to make of the President—is he a willing dupe or a craven coconspirator, they wonder in outrage. Not surprisingly, of the “75 former and current government officials” alleged to have misappropriated $4 billion of public funds, only two of them—Madam Awut Deng and Dr. Lual Achuek Deng—did acknowledge receiving the letters from the President; and of the $4 Billion dollars stolen, only $60 million was recovered. Then as now, no one knew who the remaining 73 former and current government officials were, and neither did anyone know from whom that $60 million was recovered. That prompted South Sudanese civil society groups, led by activists such as Deng Athuaai Mawiir, to march on “South Sudan’s parliament demanding the government publish the names of the officials alleged to have stolen a total of $4 billion since 2005.”

As South Sudanese were celebrating the first anniversary of the independence of the Republic of South Sudan on July 9th, 2012, Mr. Mawiir, the Chairperson of the South Sudan Civil Society Alliance, was fighting for his dear life at the Juba Teaching hospital. Masked men had kidnapped him on the 4th of July in Juba, South Sudan. He was lured into a “green-blue” car, blindfolded with his hands tied behind him and then ferried to an unknown location where he was repeatedly tortured till July 7, 2012 when he was dumped in a sack on the Juba-Bor highway. “You have been talking about the money being stolen in corruption, is it your father’s money that was stolen? Why do you like to speak every time on all these issues and who mandates you to speak on behalf of the people of South Sudan?” Demanded the kidnappers of Mr. Mawiir.

Alarmed by the persistent call, both from within and outside the country, to disclose the names of the alleged corrupt government officials, President Kiir went on national television in June 2012 to claim that “I did not say the money was stolen neither I did say $4Bn has been stolen. I said the money has been lost somewhere and someone has to account for it. I have written to 75 former and present gov’t officials. This does not mean that these 75 officials are suspects but they have the responsibility. I will still write to some officials whom I had written to them and now claimed to have not received any letter from my office. I will again write to some more officials whom I did not write to them earlier.” If his failure to retrieved and persecute former minister of finance, Arthur Akuien Chol, had set a bad precedence in the war on corruption, his equivocations was another stark case of compromise becoming divorced from principle, for his desire not to persecute members of his cabinet had only succeeded, in the eyes of those cabinet members and all concerned citizens, to incentivize rampant corruption and impunity within the corridors of power in Juba. While some civil and political activists like Mr. Mawiir were lucky to survive the torture, others like the prolific political commentator, Isaiah Abraham, were killed in cold blood in their own houses in the middle of the night.

With impunity running riot in Juba, it wasn’t long before corruption graduated from the ministries and government bureaucracies to the heart of the government—Presidential office itself. Just last year, March 2013, it was sensationally revealed that over $6 million in cash had been stolen from the office of the President by the officials working there, all of whom, not so incidentally—to borrow Dr. John Garang’s phrase in reference to the tripartite Riverian Arab tribes who had dominated the government of the Sudan since 1956—were from President Kiir’s home county in Warrap state.  The officials in charge were suspended, and formal inquiry was launched, but all the accused were later secretly reinstated into office, with the missing funds still unaccounted for. None was charged for the crime. And the case—like that of the Dura Saga, the Arthur Akuien Fiasco, the Vehicle Scandal, the $4 billion Infamy—has not live to see the light of the day. The reign of impunity under the watchful eyes of President Kiir—a man who had histrionically commenced his presidency under the banner of zero tolerance for corruption—is very much related to December 15th because impunity has been made the norm, as none of the culprits is held accountable for the frauds committed against the nation.

With impunity enshrined in practice in Juba, it was not that puzzling to see dismissed corrupt and failed ministers ganging up against the President because, in their conscience, (1) there was no bigger economic crime than the one committed by Arthur Akuien Chol, and yet he is as free as freedom itself, and (2) the President, himself steep in sleaze, has no moral authority nor the grit to pursue and indict corrupt and failed government officials and civil servants within his own government without running the risk of rocking the boat from within. Thus, impunity, in form of corruptions, paves the doom road to December 15th.

The Ticking Time Bomb

This is how the fate of the entire nation precariously hang in the balance—the bitter sacrifices and historic triumphs of all the martyrs, the wounded heroes/heroines and the war veterans, and the destiny of South Sudanese’ present and future generations—a day to that infamous Sunday, 15 December 2013, when an Attempted Coup (President Kiir and his cohorts) or the Mutiny (Kiir’s opponents and the International Community) erupted within the elite Presidential Guards of Tiger battalion, stationed at Gihada Military Barrack, next to Juba University, in Juba city, the seat of the Government the Republic of South Sudan.

PaanLuel Wël (paanluel2011@gmail.com) is the Managing Editor of PaanLuel Wël: South Sudanese Bloggers. He can be reached through his Facebook page, Twitter account or on the blog:http://paanluelwel.com/

Release our Freedom Fighter and Nationalist, Comrade Pagan Amum

Posted: January 6, 2014 by PaanLuel Wël Media Ltd. in History, PaanLuel Wël
Tags:

So Comrade Salva Kiir’s buddies nowadays include President Bashir, Lam Akol, David Yau-Yau; and Comrade Pagan Amum (and his comrades) is the enemy, bound to account for the politico-military mess in the Republic of South Sudan? Nature should be kind enough to the old man to grant him long lasting life, long enough for him to ruminate on the way he has betrayed his own heroic legacy when fate had placed him on the seat to mold the destiny of the nation, his own legacy and that of his fallen Comrades! The casualty of the current crisis, above anything else, is Kiir the freedom fighter, the loyal war veteran and the steadfast liberator. How much of that legacy would remain when dust finally settle in RSS is anybody’s best guess. The core of what constituted the historic SPLM/A’s leadership is no more; who would Comrade Kiir turn to for help if his current foes-turn-allies abandon him tomorrow? President Kiir should immediately and unconditionally release our detained freedom fighters and war veterans and stop pandering to Khartoum and her proxies!!!–PaanLuel Wel

Happy New Year to President Salva Kiir and Dr. Riek Machar Teny!

Posted: January 1, 2014 by PaanLuel Wël Media Ltd. in Editorials, PaanLuel Wël

Happy New Year, 2014, to His Excellency, President Salva Kiir Mayaardit, and the Most Honorable, Dr. Riek Machaar Teny. You guys never disappoint, to say the least, for you have collectively and indisputably made history in 2013. To Kiirdit, we are forever indebted for initiating the noble cause, and to Riekdit, praise be unto Kuarmedit for bringing the noble enterprise into fruition! Gentlemen, don’t you dare listen to their crocodile tears. Didn’t they elect, and would eternally do so if given the chance, your excellency the President? And to the Good Doctor, didn’t they willingly, and would indefinitely do so if honor with thousands more opportunities, follow you? It is THE government THEY deserve!!!!—-PaanLuel Wel.

What is the Possible End-Scenarios to the Current Crisis in South Sudan?

By PaanLuel Wel

Barring the tragedy of the situation, it is amusing how the government is conducting the aftermath of the mutiny–making it appears as a resounding victory rather than the beginning of a tragedy awaiting the nation.

One thing is clear: there is no end to this crisis other than some kind of mediated compromise between President Kiir and Riek Machar. Riek Machar will come back to Juba as the 1st Vice President of South Sudan, and possibly with a clause making him unfirable by Kiir. If that is the case, then won’t it make more sense to initiate the dialogue and peaceful end to the crisis RIGHT NOW rather than waiting for more precious lives to be lost on both sides before the two camps settle for what it is that it is.

If the government has not been able to fight and contain Yau-Yau and George Athor (till Uganda did their dirty work), what make them think that they will fight and defeat Riek Machar?

Moreover, it is likely that Riek and Yau-Yau will find it politically and militarily convenient to join forces and fight Juba. And Unity state, the home state of Riek Machar and where South Sudan’s oil is produced, will possibly turn into the battlefield, depriving Juba of all the oil’s revenue.

With no oil revenue and with the combined forces of Riek and Yau-Yau, Juba will be compelled to enter a compromised agreement with Machar. That could be done NOW before more lives are lost rather than later when it becomes apparent that the war is not winnable.

What happened was more like a mutiny than a coup and it should not be allowed to gain life of its own and spiral out of control. The International Community should help the two sides to reach some kind of a peaceful settlement before the crisis engulf the entire country.

Riek has no enough forces and hardware to defeat President Kiir; President Kiir, who has failed to bring Yau-Yau to book, should not fancy himself into thinking that he has the means to defeat Riek’s forces.

That Riek may come back as the 1st Vice President (keeping Wani as the 2nd VP) is a bitter medicine that we South Sudanese has to swallow to avoid fighting an endless and pointless war among brothers that would likely be exploited and perpetuated by Khartoum.

I think the patient needs the medicine, and badly so for that matter.

My sons died for this country… The eldest one was killed in Nasir, the other one was killed in Itang, and another one was killed in Yei and now you killed this one for me… I have been wondering when the Arabs came to Juba to kill Isaiah… I wrap my head in a white cloth because I wish South Sudan to be in peaceand he who wraps his head in black and kills people at night is responsible for ruining your country; please count me out—–Late Isaiah Abraham’s Mother, Abuna Rebecca Lueth Wel, speaking during Isaiah’s Memorial Service in Juba, December 13, 2012. 

Tribute to Isaiah Abraham: The Dark Ages of South Sudan Liberation

Tribute to Isaiah Abraham: The Dark Ages of South Sudan Liberation

By PaanLuel Wël,

Today, December 5, last year at about midnight (of Dec 4-5), we lost our brother and colleague, comrade Isaiah Diing Abraham Chan Awuol (aka Isaiah Abraham) to mysterious assailants who have never been caught up to now.

Isaiah Diing Abraham Chan Awuol Chan who was assassinated on Wednesday, December 5th, 2012, at his Gudele House in Juba city, South Sudan. All fingers are pointing at the government's secret services that have been known to kidnap and torture media personalities in South Sudan. Isaiah Abraham was never shy of expressing his deep displeasure with President Kiir administration.

Isaiah Diing Abraham Chan Awuol Chan who was assassinated on Wednesday, December 5th, 2012, at his Gudele House in Juba city, South Sudan. All fingers are pointing at the government’s secret services that have been known to kidnap and torture media personalities in South Sudan. Isaiah Abraham was never shy of expressing his deep displeasure with President Kiir administration.

While many did, and still do, consider it to have been the handiwork of the South Sudan’s Secret Security Services–political assassination, there has been no conclusive proof whatsoever notwithstanding the alleged involvement of the American’s CIA in the investigation.  The state-appointed Team that was formed to unmask his killers (1) is yet to start it works, one year later, (2) was never convened/formed in the first place, or (3) was quickly disbanded once the “fire” was thought to have fizzled out.

Marial Benjamin, then the Minister for Information, had once sensationally claimed that the government had arrested some suspects in connection with Isaiah Abraham’s killing. Once again, just like the Investigative Team, the suspects (1) are yet to be named and brought for public prosecution, one year later, (2) were not apprehended in the first place and Marial was shamelessly lying on behalf of the government, or (3) were simply released after the “fire” was perceived to have subsided.

Isaiah Diing Abraham Chan Awuol, the first martyr for the Freedom of Expression in the Republic of South Sudan

Isaiah Diing Abraham Chan Awuol, the first martyr for the Freedom of Expression in the Republic of South Sudan

Of course, then and even now, the government of the Republic of South Sudan, particularly those around the President, is/are suspected to have carried out the cowardice political assassination. What is not certain though is whether or not the president himself was in the know. Did he personally authorize the killing? I personally doubt, for it was more likely a case of some within his security guards—those who want to appear more royal than the king himself–who might had unilaterally taken the decision and executed their heinous crime, all in the name of “protecting the presidency.”

The brutal killing of Abuna Diing Chan Awuol occurred just three months after my arrival in Juba from Washington DC, USA. I was baffled, outraged and disgusted! In a country where armed rebels were, and still are, sprawling the countryside, who knew that the government of the liberators would ponder killing someone for merely expressing his/her ideas and opinions peacefully! “Didn’t they have enough enemies (real threat) at their disposal” I wondered bitterly!

Abuna Diing Chan Awuol, alias Isaiah Abraham, has indisputably become the first martyr of the Freedom of Expression in the infant Republic of South Sudan

Abuna Diing Chan Awuol, alias Isaiah Abraham, has indisputably become the first martyr of the Freedom of Expression in the infant Republic of South Sudan

I remembered when Jon Pende Ngong organized a memorial dinner, at Kush Resort, for our fallen comrade–Isaiah Abraham–in Juba. We all showed up—though we knew that the security guys would be there, listening in on us, possibly recording. I went with Atok Baguoot and Tearz Ayuen, and in attendance, in addition to Jon Pen and the three of us, were Beny Gideon, Garang John, Deng Dekuek, Manyang Mayar, Deng Awai, Ting Mayai, Abuna Yak Deng, Thon Mangok, Maal Maker Thiong, Zechariah Manyok Biar etc., among many others.

Isaiah Diing Abraham Chan Awuol Chan who was assassinated on Wednesday, December 5th, 2012, at his Gudele House in Juba city, South Sudan. All fingers are pointing at the government's secret services that have been known to kidnap and torture media personalities in South Sudan. Isaiah Abraham was never shy of expressing his deep displeasure with President Kiir administration.

Isaiah Diing Abraham Chan Awuol Chan who was assassinated on Wednesday, December 5th, 2012, at his Gudele House in Juba city, South Sudan. All fingers are pointing at the government’s secret services that have been known to kidnap and torture media personalities in South Sudan. Isaiah Abraham was never shy of expressing his deep displeasure with President Kiir administration.

The spirit of defiant and boundless outrage was on full display that late evening. We expressed our frustrations at the government and reaffirmed both our individual and collective determination to stay the course for which our comrade and colleague had paid the ultimate price. Later on when Isaiah Abraham’s official memorial was held at Pande Bior-athuot in Juba, leaders of the Greater Bor Community were in unison both in their criticisms and perception of the government as the prime suspect for the killing.

When injustice becomes law, resistance becomes a duty

When injustice becomes law, resistance becomes a duty

But it was online, on the World Wide Web, that most of us expressed their shocks at the government’s stupidity and self-defeatism mentality. Many wrote about the tragedy, but I will only provide a link to a series of articles I wrote after the horrendous murder: “Tribute to Isaiah Abraham, part 1-4“. Then below the links is a collection of Isaiah Abraham’s articles/writings that I later-ward collated and edited for the public, in his memory and honor.

Tribute To Isaiah Abraham (Part 1)

Tribute To Isaiah Abraham (Part 2)

Tribute to Isaiah Abraham (Part 3)

Tribute to Isaiah Abraham (Part 4)

Isaiah Diing Abraham Chan Awuol Chan who was assassinated on Wednesday, December 5th, 2012, at his Gudele House in Juba city, South Sudan. All fingers are pointing at the government's secret services that have been known to kidnap and torture media personalities in South Sudan. Isaiah Abraham was never shy of expressing his deep displeasure with President Kiir administration.

Isaiah Diing Abraham Chan Awuol Chan who was assassinated on Wednesday, December 5th, 2012, at his Gudele House in Juba city, South Sudan. All fingers are pointing at the government’s secret services that have been known to kidnap and torture media personalities in South Sudan. Isaiah Abraham was never shy of expressing his deep displeasure with President Kiir administration.

Articles/Writings by Isaiah Abraham

Isaiah Abraham, In His Own Words

The Battle for the SPLM’s Chairmanship Heats Up!!

By PaanLuel Wël

Our former VP and current Deputy Chairperson of the ruling SPLM party, Dr. Riek Machar, has announced that he would “soon hold a press conference to address the nation on the party’s future and other pressing issues in the country.” Specifically, Dr. Machar is going to “unveil resolutions passed against the actions of the party chairperson Salva Kiir, also South Sudan’s president.”

Demo-cracy or Demo-crazy?

Demo-cracy or Demo-crazy?

In the layperson’s language, this is nothing short of reading the riot act to Salva Kiir Mayaardit–the chairperson of the SPLM party and the President of the republic of South Sudan.

Many questions are crying out for answers. Are the disgruntled members of the SPLM-Politburo, many of whom were recently fired from the cabinet, going to gang up behind Dr. Machar and “relieve” the Chairperson of his duties “in the interest of the party and for the sake of the nation”? How will the President, who have of late gone on decreeing spree unperturbed, react to such naked political challenge to his perceived “constitutional authority”?

Will President Kiir back down peacefully (as Dr. Machar did after his dismissal from the government) and take respite from his addictive decreeing habit? Will he ratchet up the political pressure and take on his political opponents?

What leverage do Kiir’s political competitors have over him? What else can the President do other than his recent actions–their dismissal from the cabinet and the dissolution of the SPLM-PB?

However, what most South Sudanese people are wondering over is the final lineup of the factions that would compete, first for the position of the SPLM chairmanship, and secondly, for the office of the President of the country. Some crude form of the factionalization within the SPLM appears to be crystallizing, albeit ambiguously.

First is what seem to be a public knowledge already–Kiir’s detractors in the person of Dr. Machar, Pagan and Nyandeng. While they have been relentless in their opposition to President Kiir for sometime now, the question is whether or not they would eventually succeed to put aside their internal differences (there are many internal contradictions, one of which is whether Pagan and Nyandeng would accept to serve under Dr. Machar given his past) and coalesce into a formidable political force.

That would be a matter of political survival for the duo though, for they could still re-unite with President Kiir just as we saw this week when the President made an unexpected political coup against Pagan & Nyandeng’s camp by (snatching and) appointing Nhial Deng as Pagan’s replacement–Juba’s chief negotiator with Khartoum over the outstanding issues. Dr. Machar’s political rapprochement with President Kiir, though not entirely improbable, is highly complicated by the fact that VP Wani Igga won’t be ready to give him a free ride this time round.

If Machar-Pagan-Nyandeng axis survive its tumultuous infancy and graduated into a fully fledged political force, who will they take on other than President Kiir? Most likely, it would be Kiir-Wani-Lam’s alliance. Yes, Dr. Lam Akol shouldn’t be counted out. Not yet! If you are in Juba, then you must have heard Mach-kuol tales of Lam being groomed as the next National Minister for Environment–replacing the recently dismissed Abdallah Deng Nhial.

All indications point toward that eventuality. Dr. Lam, a long time traitor, was received like a rock star, with all state security and amenities at his disposal, when he recently landed in Juba, after years of self-imposed exile in Khartoum.

After all, politics is the art of possibilities. With Pagan gone, President Kiir would be tempted (if not already convinced) to take in Dr. Lam, killing two birds with one stone in the process.

Firstly, Dr. Lam, who has the absolute loyalty of the Shilluk’s voters (look at the MPs, how many SPLM MPs are from the Shilluk kingdom?) will surely prop up Kiir’s numbers during the Presidential election. Secondly, with Lam in the cabinet, it would be hard for the critics to accuse Kiir of marginalizing the Chollo people.

Of course, many people from the Kiir-Wani’s camp would be aghast at the thought of them sharing political bed and platform with a character like Lam. That is true, except that the Machar-Pagan-Nyandeng’s camp won’t dare to question the credentials of Kiir-Wani-Lam’s camp while they have their own elephant in the room. It is therefore safe, politically, for Kiir to bring Lam on board without the slightest worry of being branded a Khartoumer for associating with Khartoumers. “Those people in the glass house should not be the first to throw the first stone”, Kiir would be telling anyone within ear-reach to emphasize his point.

With all things considered, it is Kiir-Wani-Lam camp vs Machar-Pagan-Nyandeng group that would possibly define political trend in the country. Who will carry the day in the contest for the SPLM chairmanship and for the highest office in the land–the presidency? Will it be the former or the latter group? Will it be two camps as posited above or will more factions spring up?
Will these political camps usher in the politics of personality and tribalism or of ideological struggle? What is Kiir’s vision for the country? What is Dr. Machar’s, Pagan’s, Nyandeng’s etc.? And the voters: should we sympathize with them or are they simply getting the government and the leaders they deserves, to paraphrase the Hon. Mansour Khalid? The jure is still out there! The voter will decide, or so consoles the myth!!
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PaanLuel Wël (paanluel2011@gmail.com) is the Managing Editor of PaanLuel Wël: South Sudanese Bloggers.
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Product Details
The Genius of Dr. John Garang: Letters and Radio Messages of the Late SPLM/A's Leader, Dr. John Garang de Mabioor (Volume 2) Paperback – November 27, 2013

The Genius of Dr. John Garang: Letters and Radio Messages of the Late SPLM/A’s Leader, Dr. John Garang de Mabioor (Volume 2) Paperback – November 27, 2013, ON AMAZON.COM

The Genius of Dr. John Garang: Letters and Radio Messages of the Late SPLM/A’s Leader, Dr. John Garang de Mabioor (Volume 2) Paperback – November 27, 2013, ON AMAZON.COM

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AN EXCERPT FROM THE BOOK

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CAPTAIN JOHN GARANG’S 1972 LETTER

TO DOMINIC AKECH MOHAMMED

Southern Sudan

February 5th, 1972 

Dear Dominic:

Thank you for the correspondence you dispatched to this end on January 25th, instantly. Very lucky, I go them today from Kampala through the lorry. It is lucky because I am leaving tomorrow morning for the interior, about 500 miles footwork from where we last met and I will not be back for over 7 months, maybe more.

Find here enclosed a copy of a letter I wrote to General Lagu and the negotiations committee (See Captain John Garang’s 1972 Letter to General Joseph Lagu of Anyanya One, January 24, 1972). I have handwritten it (it is 2:00 a.m) since I have packed my typewriter for tomorrow’s long journey. You may type it and if necessary you have my permission to use it BUT AFTER the negotiations ONLY so as not to prejudice the same. As you can see I am not in favor of these so-called negotiations nor do I have any illusions that much will come out of them. What is more, a settlement with the enemy at the present time is not in the best interests of the Southern Sudanese people, the Sudanese people and the African people for some of the reasons given in the attached seven page letter (refer to Captain John Garang’s 1972 Letter to General Joseph Lagu of Anyanya One, January 24, 1972).

Firstly, the “solution” will be no solution since the Arab military dictatorship of General Numeiry seeks to “solve” the problem within the spirit of Arab Nationalism and the context of a United Arab Sudan. Secondly, the Numeiry regime is illegitimate, a regime of blood, rhetoric, instability and theft, it is only a matter of months before the Numeiry clique is couped out of office by a similar scum of political prostitutes. To sign a “settlement” with such unstable barbarians is criminal and makes one a member of that gang though in a different outfit. Thirdly, the conditions for permanent revolution have not as yet been sufficiently created within our own motion.

The objective of liberation (of armed struggle) is firstly the riddance of oppression and exploitation and the simultaneous creation of conditions and structures for the permanent (continuous) release of our productive forces, which have been so historically damned, deformed, stunted and impeded by exploitation, oppression and humiliation. This last point is central as it focuses on the essence, the particularity of our movement.

About my role as Information Officer for the Anyanya, it is true that there has been such talk, but after I finished my infantry training last October, I made a concrete analysis of the situation and objective factors indicated that I could not make my total contribution in that capacity. You know what I mean. And if that be the case, it would be an intolerable situation. I joined the Movement with total commitment and dedication. I have sacrificed (I don’t consider it so) all the benefits paper dehumanizing education is supposed to confer on the dehumanized, decultured native holder, I am resolved to give the ultimate sacrifice, my life, for I am bound by nothing else but duty and commitment to Africa and the African people starting with the Southern Sudanese people, as a matter of course. African liberation can only primarily be effected through combat and everything else must be built around the combat, must enhance and give political character to combat. 

The Genius of Dr. John Garang: (Volume 1)

It would take me a book to go into analytical, historical and practical exposition of this line, but it is sufficient to say that this is why I turned down the “Information” work and chose active combat, and so tomorrow I go to the interior to (eventually soon) take over command of a full battalion. War is war, should anything terminate my usefulness (services) to the African people and revolution, it is incumbent upon you to continue with the struggle and/or to prepare the children and generations to come for the revolution. It is our duty.

I am indeed sorry about brother Vuzi Zulu that he comes at a time I have to leave. It would have been my duty and pleasure to cooperate with him since I presume we are engaged in the same revolution. (I would have also found that out). At any rate, pass my regards and explanation to him on his return. Some other time we shall meet.

Yes, I shot all the five colored films you gave me. After the training I went to Kampala but failed to develop them, as they don’t have facilities for developing Ecktochrome film in Kampala. When Allen Reed came he took them to Nairobi and they were developed and printed on slides. He then returned them and gave me a bill of 80/= (eighty Uganda shillings) which I promptly paid and I got all the slides. Two days later he came to me in Bumbo (twenty miles from Kampala) and begged me to borrow him some of the slides to teach his (Southern Sudanese) photography cadets who were there assembled in Kampala and that he would return them the following day.

He went and disappeared, till now I have not seen him—a complete breach of trust. Please convey the charge of theft to him from me, and collect those slides from him, I had actually told him that I was going to send them to you. The balance, I have left them locked up in Bumbo as I could not send them in time expecting Allen to return the borrowed ones and then send them in lump. This concurs with your other remarks.

Also please convey my sincere appreciation to FOPANO, ANAM, and OFPA for their endorsement “in principle” to cooperation with you and the Movement in our “efforts towards the liberation of Africa” and to Roy Inis and Core for the inclusion of “the Southern Sudanese Liberation Movement” in its support of African Liberation Movements.

Tell those citizens of Africa, snatched away from the great BLACK womb of our Mother, that time has come for their consciousness and ours on the mainland to merge (again) with one big black consciousness that will pull Mother Africa from the bloody teeth of the monster and usher in the total release of our productive forces long damned, deformed and impeded by centuries of oppression, exploitation and emasculating humiliation.

Greetings to all our students and brothers.

Brother Garang Mabior Atem

Southern Sudan, February 5th, 1972

By PaanLuel Wël

President Salva Kiir Mayaardit has fired Abdallah Deng Nhial, the National Minister for Environment, and a longtime Islamist with root in the Muslim Brotherhood of the Sudan, headed by Sheikh Hassan el-Turabi. As a fanatical follower of el-Turabi, Abdallah collaborated with Khartoum regime during South Sudan war for independence spearheaded by the SPLM/A.

While Dr. Lam Akol’s name is synonymous with traitorship and collaboration with the North during and after the war of liberation, it is Abdallah that rightfully own that crown; Dr. Lam, it could be argued, has robbed him of the title.

And so when he was appointed Minister for Environment during the recent cabinet overhaul this year, many South Sudanese had interpreted the appointment of such flawed character who spent his entire life collaborating with the North against the interests of Southerners as President Kiir’s pandering to Khartoum in an attempt to appease the Mullahs in Khartoum and keep the oil pipeline open.

This wasn’t a farfetched conclusion because many of the appointees, still in President Kiir’s cabinet such as Riek Gai, have a chequred track record of serving the interests of the NCP of which they were (and still could be) members.

Abdallah Deng’s dismissal from the cabinet yesterday (Nov. 26, 2013) came at a backdrop of a public altercation he had had with Machok Majong Jong last week. Hon. Machok is the MP for Gogrial West county from Warrap State, the constituency and state the President hails from.

It’s understood that an argument between the pair on the premises of the national parliament in the South Sudanese capital, Juba, escalated in to a physical fight. Eyewitnesses said Both Nhial and Majong were arguing in a larger group over the fate of the contested Abyei region in the office of the chairman of the parliamentary affairs committee, before the debate turned into a tit-for-tat exchange of insults. Nhial, who hails from Bor South constituency in Jonglei state, reportedly asserted that “Abyei was already a gone case as part of South Kordofan” in Sudan; a view point which was said to have angered Majong. It’s alleged that Nhial slapped the Gogrial West county legislator after he criticised Nhial for using “bad names”. Politicians from Warrap state, as well as a youth group, lobbied the president to take action against the former minister. Following the incident, Majong attempted to raise a motion in parliament, calling for a vote of no-confidence against the minister. (ST)

Because the relieved Minister had slapped an MP from the President home county, many South Sudanese have been quick to conclude that the President has taken side and fired the Minister to appease “his people” and redeem their butchered honor.

But some commentators have gone deeper and further than that and are passionately claiming that the reason for the President’s move can only be better appreciated in the context of what the fired Minister allegedly said regarding Abyei, something that these observers surmise the president had wanted to be kept under wrap, forever.

“Abyei was already a gone case as part of South Kordofan” in Sudan (Shouted Abdallah Deng Nhial)

This is how the logic goes: President Kiir and Bashir have been meeting, on numerous occasions, over the issue of Abyei and some South Sudanese people do feel that the President hasn’t told the nation the whole truth regarding his discussions with Bashir and the North. For example, did the President trade off Abyei to have the oil pipeline re-opened?

For those who fancy the President might have sold out Abyei, the crime committed by Abdallah Deng Nhial (who is very close to Khartoum and could be privy to the secretive dealings and trade-offs over Abyei), is not that he had dared to publicly slapped an MP from President Kiir backyard; rather it is that he has let the cat out of the bag by revealing something that would, if proven right, disgrace the President.

That is “Abyei was already a gone case as part of South Kordofan”. Where did the good minister got that idea/information from? From his masters in Khartoum and then spilt it out in the heat of the moment, earning the wrath of both Khartoum and Juba?

Some South Sudanese commentators suppose that to be the case:

Abdalla Deng Nhial is a Khartoumer who knows the recent secret deals between incompetent Kiir and criminal Bashir on Abyei issue, and that is why he said Abyei was already a gone case. He meant that Kiir sold it, and this revelation angered Kiir’s MP. (Midiit, a commentator on ST)

Another one concurs thus:

I’m agreed with Mr Midiit 100%. It’s true that Kiir Dismissed Deng Nhail because he is revealing the truth about Abyei issue. And the order to dismiss him came direct from Bashir of Khartoum. Because Bashir did not want any minister from Kiir’s government to behave differently. (Wicdall, from ST)

Of course, this view is not in the majority because most people probably believe that the utterance–and the public stance taken–by the North-affiliated Minister that arbitrarily consign Abyei to the North, is an outrageous crime to warrant his dismissal from the cabinet.

Nonetheless, the fact that some South Sudanese people think it fit to link the President to such treacherous actions should be a wake-up call for the President in as far as he belabors to bring Abyei back to where it rightfully belong: South Sudan.

Comrade Salva Kiir is a proud veteran of two wars: Anyanya-1 and the SPLM/A, including his indispensable patriotic works during the heydays of their Underground Movement. His resolve to have the CPA-mandated Southern Referendum conducted on time and fairly, and his craftiness and courage to oversee the Independence of South Sudan successfully–against all odds that had seemed insurmountable–are commendable and historical.

However, the case of Abyei, more than the rampant corruption and mismanagements in Juba, could undo all those achievements within a blink of an eye if he (had) signs onto dots that handover Abyei to the North.

President Kiir risks joining the ranks of Dr. Lam Akol and Abdallah Deng Nhial, among others, in the eyes of the patriotic South Sudanese people!!

And the SPLM Internal Squabbling Continues…….

Posted: November 26, 2013 by PaanLuel Wël Media Ltd. in Featured Articles, PaanLuel Wël

By PaanLuel Wel.

These are two great articles insofar as the word-war is concerned within the SPLM.

1. Machar hints party may act against S. Sudan’s Kiir over repeated violations

2. South Sudan’s Amum, Machar accused of “deliberately” causing SPLM failures

But we must commend Dr. Riek Machar for choosing this path to fight for ‘his right’ to rule South Sudan rather than resorting to ethnic mobilization and incitement as many had presupposed.

Kiir, Pagan and Riek in their heydays

Kiir, Pagan and Riek in their heydays

All South Sudanese–including Riek, Pagan and Nyandeng who have so far declared their interests–have an inalienable right to run for the highest office in the land, be it the party chairmanship or the presidential office. It is their rights, period! Anyone making a crime out of it is not only doing a disservice to the nation but is actually fooling the President.

But only under one condition: you can’t criticize a system that you are part of and still enjoys its largesse. Either you resign first and then criticize or just shut up and “eat” in silence. You can’t have you cake and still eat it. This is where Riek, Pagan and Nyandeng have gone wrong.

But surely, they are all bad boyz–Kiir, Riek, Pagan, Nyandeng–in term of leadership. They have collectively mismanaged the country, have collectively failed our historic party–the SPLM–reducing it to a shell of its former self.

The saddest part is not that they haven’t met people’s expectations–their failures, it is that they are holding us hostage to their whims: no matter how fed up we are with them, we have no viable alternative leader other than these tested guys.

Riek, Pagan and Nyandeng might be pretending that the ills bedeviling the country/party are of Salva Kiir’s own making, but that is a white lie. It is not Kiir that is the problem though he is part and parcel of it, the problem is systemic.

You can get rid of Kiir, of Riek, of Pagan of Nyandeng etc., but the problem would still manifest itself in the various ways it has been. And neither would the election of Riek/Pagan/Nyandeng bring any panacea to our national headache.

It would simply be “our turn to eat” pandemonium as the cronyists of Riek/Pagan/Nyandeng–who are waiting patiently for the prey–would scramble to surpass the cronyists of Benydit Kiir!

The Genius of Dr. John Garang: The Essential Writings and Speeches of the Late SPLM/A's Leader, Dr. John Garang De Mabioor (Volume 1)

The Genius of Dr. John Garang: The Essential Writings and Speeches of the Late SPLM/A’s Leader, Dr. John Garang De Mabioor (Volume 1) on AMAZON.COM

The Genius of Dr. John Garang: The Essential Writings and Speeches of the Late SPLM/A’s Leader, Dr. John Garang De Mabioor (Volume 1) Paperback – November 15, 2013; by PaanLuel Wël (The Editor)

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AN EXCERPT FROM THE BOOK

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Don’t Get Derailed from your own History: Dr. John Garang Speaking on the History of the Sudan (1988) 

There is an exigency to go back to our historical roots, back to historical Sudan from the dawn of humanity to the present time. This is urgent and necessary because some people have been striving to erase us from history; they have been trying to derail us from our own history, from our own historical roots. Lest some people may get confuse and succumb to this misguided machinations from Khartoum that have been presenting the Sudan in terms of two parameters to the exclusion of the others—Islamism and Arabism. This ‘back to our roots’ initiative can be summarized in few points as follows. With respect to the history of the Sudan, there are some people, based on their own selfish interest, who say the history of the Sudan commenced with the arrival of the Turks in 1821. Others claim that the history of the Sudan started with the Mahdi, that is, when the Mahdist state (1885-1898) was established in the Sudan. There are some people, particularly among the Europeans, who insist that Africa history, along with the Sudan, began with European colonialism, that is, the coming of the Anglo-Egyptian Sudan or the Anglo-Egyptian condominium (1898-1956). Just here in Southern Sudan, there are some people that even go as recent as 1947 when the Juba Conference was convened to decide whether Southern Sudan should be part of the Sudan or to separate and remain an independent entity or join up with the East Africa countries. There are some, still, who argue that the history of the Sudan started with the invasion of the Sudan by the Arabs from the Egypt and the Middle East. All these chauvinistic narratives on the history of the Sudan are according to some vested interests of certain speakers, of certain sections of the Sudanese society.

The first thing to be said is that we in the SPLM/SPLA go as far back as we can in the history of the Sudan. According to recorded and unrecorded history, archaeological and written history, human civilization started right here in the Nile Valley—in the Sudan and Egypt. And so the Sudan, along with Egypt and the whole of the Nile Valley, is a major part of human civilization, as we know it. This fact again is something out there for anybody to check and to verify. This is important because the historical roots are very important and they cannot just be traced to 1947 or to 1955 to 1880s or to 1820s or nineteen hundred or sixteen hundred. So we in the SPLM/SPLA go all the way back to the dawn of human history, and remember and reconstruct whatever is remember-able and whatever is reconstruct-able, because it is from all these roots that we will create the New Sudan.

So our history is not as shallow as some people would want us to believe. Our history is rich and deep, and we must get into that depth and that richness, and coming from there, taking what we can take and leaving what we do not want. It is up to us, it is our choice. In order to construct from the past, the very past, the medium past and the present to construct the future, we must go back to and reconstruct the very past. So a creation of the New Sudan would mean the complete reconstruction of the past. In order to create the present and the future, we must correctly reconstruct the past, not with lies but with the truth, not by saying John Garang is a descendant of Abbas. No, we must go on to the facts and these facts are readily available in history for people who want to know the truth. So we have said that in order for us to have a correct assessment of our present so that we pass into the future, we have to go all the way back and come with our history and combine whatever is useful to reconstruct our history as it should be, not as some are trying to portray it within the prism of their prejudiced outlook.

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There are two ways to view and understand our history as Sudanese people: the history as in the past and history as of the modern times. I call them Sudanese diversities. For this purpose, I want to go down the corridors of history to show that we, the Sudanese, are indeed the historical people and that the New Sudan has an anchor in history. Having an anchor in history is very important because if we cannot find an anchor in history, then we can create one, lest the struggle at the end of the day is meaningless. I will therefore present this anchor in history in terms of the present character of the Sudan and as it connects with our historical roots. The Sudan is characterized by two diversities: contemporary and historical diversities that go back thousand of years, indeed to the dawn of humanity. By historical diversity I mean that we did not just pop up as Sudanese from nowhere. We have been here, we have been there and we are still here now. And the proof of that is, of course, I am standing in front of you here. It means that I must have come from somewhere. When you look at the history of the Sudan, you can find it in old books. In the Bible, for example, where it makes references to Kush and/or Ethiopia; and these are interchangeable names for what is now the geographical Sudan. In the ancient times, we had the kingdom of Wawat, the kingdom of Irtet, the kingdom of Majda and the kingdom of Annu. Annu is believed by some historians to be the present Anyuak or Annuak people that were believed by ancient Egyptian to be the gods of the Nile. That set somewhere in the south to be the source of the Nile, and that was giving water to Egypt, and as the Bible says, Egypt is the gift of the Nile. So it is the gift of Annu or the Anyuak people of Southern Sudan to the Egyptian people.

The Genius of Dr. John Garang: (Volume 2)

You come down the corridors of history to the Nubian Christian kingdoms of Merowe, Makuria, Alwa and Soba. The first non-Jewish Christian or the first gentile Christian was a Sudanese. You read it in the Acts of the Apostles [Acts 8 V 27], as the Ethiopian Eunuch. That Ethiopian Eunuch has been researched and he has been found out to have been an official in the court of the king of Merowe. Merowe is north of Khartoum. As mentioned before, in 1821 was the Turco-Egyptian Sudan, the spread of an occupation of the northern part of our country by the Turco-Egyptian rule, down to the Mahdist state (1885-1898), down to the Anglo-Egyptian Sudan or the Anglo-Egyptian condominium (1898-1956), the modern independent Sudan from 1956 to the present. All these I called the historical diversities. As you can therefore see, we have a long history. People and kingdoms have lived, thrived and disappeared in the geographical area that constitute the present modern Sudan. Yet the present and previous rulers of Khartoum present a false picture of our country as if the Sudan started with them and as if the history and reality of Sudan consists only of two parameters—Arabism and Islamism.  Of course they argue this way so as to stake a claim to the Sudan and they do this to the exclusion of others. This is why there have been wars in the Sudan. Our contention in the SPLM/SPLA is that the Sudan belongs to all the peoples that now inhabit the country, and that its history, diversity and richness is the common heritage of all the Sudanese people. The attempts have been made in the past to try to push some people out of the rail of history and I am not accepting this. That is why I want to anchor our movement, and our struggle and the New Sudan, to anchor it deeply, in our long history. This is one form of diversity, the historical diversity.

The second form of diversity in the Sudan is the present diversity, the contemporary diversity. The Sudan has over 500 different ethnic groups, speaking more than 130 distinct languages. These ethnic groups fall into two categories, roughly the Africans and people of Arab origin in the Sudan, but they are all Sudanese people. The Indigenous African Sudanese—those whose mother tongue is other than Arabic—were 69% of the population according to the 1955 colonial census, while the Arab Sudanese—those whose mother tongue is Arabic—were 31% of the population according to the 1955 colonial census. Another fact that many people do not know or do not want to know is that indigenous Africans are more in the North than in the South: 39% of the total population as compared to the South’s 30%. Ethnicity is thus one major form of contemporary diversity. Another form of contemporary diversity is religion. We have two major religions in the country—Islam and Christianity, and traditional African religions. The Muslims are mostly in the North and constitute about 65-70% of the total population, while Christians and followers of Traditional African Religions constitute the remaining 30-35%.

These two forms of diversities, the historical and the contemporary, constitute the Sudanese reality, and thus, any form of governance must be based on, and must take into account, these two forms of diversities. However, all governments that have come and gone in Khartoum since 1956 have attempted to create a monolithic Arab-Islamic state to the exclusion of other parameters of the Sudanese diversity. They simply ignore or deliberately fly in the face of this Sudanese reality. This is the fundamental problem of the Sudan, and the justification for our armed struggle. What has happened is that a group of people in Khartoum, in 1956, hijacked the Sudan. They hijacked the Sudan and defined it in their own image, that the Sudan is an Arab-Islamic state. No, it is not. I called it hijacking because Sudan is a Sudanese state for the Sudanese people, not an Arab-Islamic state for Arabs and the Muslims.

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This is our point of departure from those naysayers. Therefore, it is necessary for each of you to study, to learn what is available out there, without preference, about our historical roots and about our rightful place in the history of mankind. The fact that we are here in 1988; the fact that the various Sudanese nationalities are here—that alone, the reality of our presence in the Sudan today, shows that there was a civilization(s) here. Otherwise, we would not be talking today as Dinka or as Nuer or as Shilluk or as Zande or Latuho or whatever all the nationalities there are in the Sudan. It is the solidity of their cultures that has made them to be present today in 1988; otherwise, they would not be present, for they would have been lost like many lost nationalities of human race. So the assertions, the lies that are said, what is said that Sudanese civilization or state started in such and such a year should be far from our thinking, because the Sudan is rich with cultures that go very deep into the dawn of humanity itself. If we study these cultures in historical motion, we will find their richness and depth undisputable. This is an important point of departure that unites us, and it is in sharp contrast to the narrative of those who want to hijack the Sudan by making it in their own artificial image. This is because if you take the history of the Sudan from one point of view, because if you say it is Arab civilization or a Dinka civilization or a Nuer civilization or a Shilluk civilization or a Fur civilization or a Latuho civilization or Nuba civilization and you speak to that viewpoint only, that would be a sectarian culturalism because you are taking one of the cultures and defining the New Nation through a single cultural entity. Absolutely not, for you cannot create a new harmonious nation out of imposition of one culture on the rest, this is impossible. So we take that point of departure and we will be consistent with it.

I acknowledge that it is difficult to be consistent with it when people are confused, when people have vested interests, when people are sectarian, when people are tribalistic, when people are sectionalistic, then it is difficult to be consistent because the vested interests will divert people. But the real revolutionaries understand that point of view and they will go consistently with it. The language I am using here is of course an inflammatory language that states ‘don’t tell me about Arabs’. But this is not our language, this is the language of someone that is angry and he can be excused because he is angry for a reason. It is necessary to be angry in order to become a revolutionary. You must be angry in order to rebel against oppression as was mentioned earlier by comrade Yusuf Kuwa Mekki. After you become a rebel, you transform yourself into a revolutionary. So we will, and you must, accept this language as coming from an angry man and we understand why he is angry—he is protesting against his deletion from history.

Therefore, we will immerse ourselves into the Sudanese situation, we will transform the Sudanese situation, so that they believe in the objectivity of the New Sudan, in which there is no anti-Arabism, and no anti-Africanism, no anti-Islam or anti-Christianity but we form a new synthesis, a new synthesis that is a culture, that is a nation, that is a state, that will have its role to play on the African continent, in the Middle East, in the World, because we have to make our contribution to the human race and we have the capability to make this contribution. So this is the intellectual background of our objectives as a Movement—the SPLM/SPLA.

From this intellectual background anchored in history, in order to have success, we must envision what success is, what it looks like, what it feels like. So what do we mean by success? One, we must form a revolutionary state in Khartoum, and secondly, that revolutionary state must have a revolutionary army in Khartoum, because you cannot have a revolutionary state without the revolutionary army. It is a contradiction. Likewise, you cannot have a reactionary state and a revolutionary army because one would take the other away and it has happened in many places. For example, a minority cliques can stage a coup d’état, install themselves in power and proclaim revolution. They claim to have made a revolution while the whole army remains reactionary. There is General such and such and he maintains his position and Major General such and such still maintains his position, and he likes his position and the privileges that his position avails him and he has his local and international connections. It is a matter of time before the reactionary army gets rid of the revolutionary state.

The summary of this argument boils down to one objective: the establishment of a revolutionary army and a revolutionary state in Khartoum. This, more than anything else, is the true meaning, and our definition, of success. If we have not achieved these two objectives—a revolutionary state with a revolutionary army—then we are continuing the armed struggle until these two are formed because one would not succeed without the other, they are complementary, one is indispensable to the survival of the other. And it is not the SPLM/A only that is going to form the state because there are other revolutionary forces in the country. Our task is how to fuse together these revolutionary forces in order to establish these objectives of a revolutionary state with a revolutionary army. I gave you the other background before in order to arrive at the necessity of these objectives because without the revolutionary state and the revolutionary army to safeguard it, you cannot destroy neocolonialism, you cannot destroy religious fundamentalism, and you cannot destroy racism in the country.

Certainly, you need a revolutionary state with a revolutionary army in order to do these because any other situation won’t work, and won’t succeed, simply because say if we get rid of Sharia and there is somebody who is not a revolutionary and you tell him to cancel Sharia, he would think that he would go to hell and who would want to go to hell? He won’t do it because in his mind, there is a hell waiting for him. How do you convince someone to embrace going to hell? Of course we know that this is a misguided view but it is a fact we have to deal with; armed revolutions are conducted within the paradigm of the prevailing reality, whether that actuality is based on facts or on myths is beside the point.  So you need a revolutionary state and a revolutionary army in order to implement the revolutionary program. The revolutionary program also has to be constructed, and you need a revolutionary state and a revolutionary army in order to construct and implement the revolutionary program. This is our history since the dawn of human age and this is our noble goal and objective to the suffering people of the Sudan: to establish a revolutionary state with a revolutionary army to construct and implement a revolutionary program of the New Sudan Vision.

The government Chief Whip, Atem Garang: “Mr. Speaker, the governor declared the devaluation of the currency after we have just passed the budget, and this was supposed to be before the budget so that it is reflected in salaries and the rest that is in the budget. And as such, since it is going to affect the budget and affect the lives of our people, the bank of South Sudan is supposed to revoke the decision now.” Former Minister of Water & Irrigation, Paul Mayom: “Mr. Speaker, the declaration of the governor on the 11th Nov. made several children and mothers to go hungry, and went to beg hungry. These families could not afford to buy food yester-night. I want to request the governor to ask the board to suspend the order immediately.” Governor Central Bank, Kornelio Koriom: “Honorable Speaker, I have listened and I have followed very closely the decision of the house, and I respect it. This is the will of the people, and surely we cannot do it otherwise. We shall immediately revoke it.” via Danis Doggiee of the Eye Radio (Facebook).

By PaanLuel Wël

November 13, 2013 (SSB)  —  On Monday (Nov. 11), BOSS Governor, Kornelio Koryom, declared his harmonization policy by raising the exchange rate FROM 2.96ssp/dollar–Central Bank, 3.16ssp/dollar–Commercial Banks, 4.40ssp/dollar–black market TO 4.50ssp/dollar–Central Bank, 4.6ssp/dollar–Commercial Banks. Governor Koryom justified the parity decision thus:

It will lower short-term exchange rate volatility, provide more reliable access to foreign exchange by the business community and members of the public and help to build buffers for the economy to deal with unanticipated shocks”.

As a result, the black market rate shot up, hovering between 5.7-6.0ssp/dollar. Food prices and cost of construction materials soared; long lines of cars and boda-boda at the petrol stations, with bus and boda-boda fares skyrocketing.

Governor Kornelio Koryom with Strauss-kahn, former head of the IMF, in Juba.

Governor Kornelio Koryom with Strauss-kahn, former head of the IMF, in Juba.

South Sudan, being an importing nation (we import literally everything including cooks, dish washers, waiters and even grave diggers, while we export only oil and it is highly unreliable), the inflationary effect of the parity decision was a foregone conclusion,  no matter how good-intended the decision might have been.

Today (Wednesday, Nov 13), after the governor was literally dragged before Parliament (the guys were furious as hell), he revoked his decision declaring that:

“I have listened carefully to the house and i respect its decision. This is the will of the people. We shall immediately revoke the decision.Secondly, I and the Minister of Finance will appear here [before you] next Monday.”

In retrospect, the harmonization decision–harmonizing the official rate (bank rate) with the unofficial rate (black market rate)–was not only unsustainable but it was not actually benefiting anyone.

To be a little bit charitable to the Governor, the parity decision might have been meant to rid the country of the parasitic forex bureaus (owned by none other than those within the Central Bank and the government) that had been exploiting the differences between the official and the unofficial rates. These Forex Bureaus, together with commercial banks, are given around 50 million dollars a month to be given to the public at the rate of 3.16ssp/dollar.

But what do they do instead? The money bureaus give out only 10% of the amount and take the 90% to the black market where it fetches 4.40ssp/dollar. This is how millionaires are minted in South Sudan. Within a year, these thieves would be strolling in V-8, smiling all the way to the bank–Central Bank.

If Governor Koryom’s harmonization policy was intended to put a halt to this loophole, then he was damn wrong because to set the bank rate at par with the black market rate would be to assume that the black market rate is somehow fixed, which is not the case.

The black market rate is driven by the market forces of Demand and Supply. So long as there is more demand for the dollar than the supply can quench, the black market rate would, more often than not, ratchet up to fill the void. For the Central Bank to control the market, it must be ready to supply the quantity of dollars needed each day, 24/7/365.

But that is not possible, because dollars are not printed in Juba town. For Koryom to get enough dollars, South Sudan exports must exceed imports so that there is surplus of dollars.

But we are an importing nation, thus, there is, and will continue to be, shortages of dollars from the Central Bank. This is where the black market guys come in, to do the dirty job left undone by the Central Bank, but at a price/profit, thus the higher their rate. This is market at its best.

The only thing that the decision was bound to bring about was the inflation–increase in prices of all consumer goods and services. But fortunately, inflation touches the BIG FISH in Juba.

And courtesy of the BIG FISH, the decision has been reversed, with immediate effect and with possible repercussions on the governor and possibly on Aggrey Sabuni, our Finance & Economic Guru. What were they thinking/smoking?

What is Wrong with the Dinkas?

Posted: November 8, 2013 by PaanLuel Wël Media Ltd. in Commentary, Featured Articles, PaanLuel Wël


A customer ate and left without paying. The waiter behind his heels shouted ‘Sir, you have forgotten to pay.’ The customer returned and slapped the waiter in the face and continued walking off. The waiter ran to the owner of the restaurant to complain. The owner wasn’t helpful: “You know he is a Dinka, why did you ask him?”Daniel Akech Thiong, via Lotueng Blog

The Genius of Dr. John Garang: The Essential Writings and Speeches of the Late SPLM/A's Leader, Dr. John Garang De Mabioor (Volume 1)

The Genius of Dr. John Garang: The Essential Writings and Speeches of the Late SPLM/A’s Leader, Dr. John Garang De Mabioor (Volume 1) ON AMAZON.COM

By PaanLuel Wel.

A jilted young South Sudanese man in Australia is reported to have killed his ex-wife, a mother of four. A disillusioned South Sudanese man–reportedly a failed asylum seeker–is alleged to have knifed three people to death in Norway, a day before his scheduled deportation.

Well, these cases, like most reported ones in the past about our South Sudanese communities in the diaspora, are deplorable and alarming. But I think I should point something out here (though it is politically incorrect).

Most of these violent cases, if not all, are committed by the members of the Dinka community. This is something somebody somewhere should start thinking about. It is not about the stereotyped picture of the violent-prone cattle-herding Nilotic communities (Dinka, Nuer, Murle, Taposa etc) that I am alluding to; rather it is the frequency of these tragic cases.

More so, it is the unfortunate ways this mentality of resorting to violence to settle scores which, inasmuch as it might have been useful and relevant when dealing with the Arabs in the Sudan, has no place and should never have been exported to (and replicated in) settled nations—US, EU, UK, Australia, Canada and New Zealand.

What is wrong with the Dinkas?

Isn’t it a high time that the Dinka Community worldwide should stop burying their head in the sand of “South Sudanese in the Diaspora” has done this and that and start addressing the issue head-on as a DINKA PROBLEM?

And if indeed there is a way out of this (and there should be one, for they were not the sole victims of the civil war in the Sudan, others were equally affected), the community should embark on a soul-searching mission and confront the societal problem of ‘now’: violence in the name of male chauvinism.

The Dinka as a community should make a break with this tragic trend that has gone on for so long and spare the host communities/countries the pain and the terror they are subjected to and the shame it brings on the name of “South Sudan/ese”?

The environment–the culture and the setting–that produce such monsters, need a thorough tampering lest the whole Dinka community stands the risk of branding itself a ‘lawless and violent’ community wherein senseless might is mistaken for right.

Abyei Juu! Abyei Oyee!

Posted: October 31, 2013 by PaanLuel Wël Media Ltd. in Abyei, PaanLuel Wël

Results for the unilateral Abyei referendum for self-determination are out. The total registered voters were 64,775, and out of that, 63059  voted for secession from Khartoum and in favor of a union with Juba, while paltry 12 votes were cast in favor of Khartoum. 362 were invalids.

abyei pic

That translates to 99.99% Abyei votes for South Sudan while Khartoum comes at a distant thousandth with 0.01% of the votes.

Shame on the TOOTHLESS AU AND ESPECIALLY ON MADAM JACOB ZUMA….she can go to hell or commit suicide if she prefers that…..HOW DARED SHE COLLUDED WITH THE ARABS AGAINST HER OWN AFRICAN PEOPLE? IN WHICH UNIVERSE WOULD AN ARAB OR ARAB ORGANIZATION GO AGAINST AN ARAB INTEREST? ONLY IN AFRICA AND WITH AFRICANS WOULD SUCH black swan OCCURS!

ABYEI OYEE! SHAME ON JUBA TOO……how about that: 99.99% vote against your incriminating protest? Silence would have been golden on your part had you ears to hear, eyes to see, heart to feel and mind to think!

By PaanLuel Wel

President Kiir is said to have decreed the ‘forgiveness’ of Dr. Lam Akol, the leader of South Sudan official opposition party (SPLM-DC) and the man who ran against him during the last presidential election. What is newsworthy about the case is not that the President has pardoned Dr. Lam; rather, it is the fact that not many of us were aware about any pending case against him.

Dr. Lam has been residing in Khartoum prior to and after the independence of South Sudan. Though he had been accused of having link to the renegade militia leader, Johnson Olony, there was no proof of the case other than that they hail from the same community.

Among the beneficiaries of the ‘Lord’s Mercy’ are some renegade militia leaders–Gabriel Tanginye, Gatwech Dual, Mabor Dhol, Gatwech Gach and Peter Abdel Rahaman Sule–who were jailed over various times and for various reasons, ranging from an outright rebellion against Juba to mere suspicions and hearsays.

While most South Sudanese have welcomed the ‘pardonment’ as a great step towards peace, unity and reconciliation, and thus political stability and economic prosperity in South Sudan, some could not stomach the unsettling fact that the worst that can ever befall anyone who rebel against the government of President Kiir is to get ‘pardon’, ‘military promotion’ and ‘unspecified amount of money’ to get settle down after killing spree.

This article that I wrote about Dr. Riek Machar’s ‘repentance’–which I still believe was a genuine one since he didn’t do it for promotion or to curry favor with the power that be–would shed more light on the dilemma of seeking national reconciliation and promoting unity versus the danger of incentivizing rebellion and wanton killing of civilians by these militia leaders and their would-be counterparts.

President Kiir has to strike a right balance lest it might reach a point where leaders would be rebelling against the government just to secure a ministerial position. While National Unity is paramount in a fragile state like South Sudan, it is imperative that we should never be seen to be rewarding evil instead of punishing the wrongdoers.

Deterrence is divined; appeasement is kicking the can down the road!

By PaanLuel Wel

Pan-Africanists would passionately preach to you that the West has been an African’s nightmare for the past century, prior to and in the post-colonial era. While putting an end to the grinding burden of Western’s exploitation of and interference in Africa has been the holy grail for Pan-Africanists for the past decades, the East ominously loom large now on the shores of Africa.

Yet few, if any, of the Pan-Africanists are sure of what the arrival of the dragon really portends for Africa.

The West came in the name of Christianity, but Christianity was soon followed by Colonialism. Today the East is coming in the name of “just” business with “mutual benefits” and a promise of non-interference in domestic politics of African countries. But if the experiences of the West, coming in the name of Christianity but ending up lording over the continent,  is any guide to the Eastern Arrival, how long will it take before the East outgrow its “business” mission and start policing the continent?

Today, China dazzles many African countries with promises of better economic opportunities but what leverages do African countries have should the dragon unilaterally decide to flex its huge muscle? Is the West better/worse than the East? Same monkeys in different forests?

Well, this book will answer some of those questions and clarify some myths as far as comparing the past West to the present East is concerned. Still, remember, East or West, HOME is the best!

Link on Amazon.com: Black Ghosts, by Ken Kamoche

South Sudan: No General Election in 2015?

Posted: September 12, 2013 by PaanLuel Wël Media Ltd. in Commentary, Featured Articles, History, Junub Sudan, PaanLuel Wël

South Sudan’s 2015 general elections may not take place – census official

September 11, 2013 (JUBA) – A senior official of South Sudan’s government has hinted that the 2015’s countrywide elections may not take place if the exercise will be based on the constitutional requirement for a population census as a prerequisite. Isaiah Chol Aruai, chairman of the National Bureau of Statistics, on Wednesday told the UN sponsored Miraya FM radio that he was afraid his institution will not succeed to conduct the census before 2015 due to lack of logistics.

——————————————————

My opinion is that this isn’t a breaking news to most analysts of political developments/maueverings in South Sudan. South Sudan’s next general election in 2015 faces the same uncertainties as those of the planned plebiscite in Abyei. While the referendum in Abyei is scheduled for October this year, the groundwork laws and regulations about and  on the conduct of the exercise are yet to be decided by Juba and Khartoum.

Few people, if any, expect the Abyei referendum to occur in October 2013.

Similarly, for the next General Election in South Sudan, the necessary laws and regulations such as the conduct of general census and a ratification of a permanent constitution are yet to be finalized, not to mention their promulgations.

Logistics, bureaucratic malaise and political ambivalence are blamed for the delayed.  The status quo that has given the President, governors etc. Unlimited terms in office is too much, too good, and a once-in-a-while opportunity, to be so easily discarded by the power that be.

Parliament, courtesy of the former Justice Minister John Luk Joak, gave the president such unlimited powers that he can now, constitutionally, appoint and dismiss anyone within the borders of the Republic, including the elected honorable members of parliament and governors.

President Kiir, in a rare zeal not to be found in other areas of his responsibilities, has been able to maximally exercise his unfettered powers, making casualty of the very man, John Luk, who crowned him.

Of course, some MPs, members of civil society and the general public have been quick to claim that president Kiir is a dictator, yet he is simply exercising his constitutional powers that these same guys freely and happily bestowed upon him. Where were they and what were they thinking when the transitional constitution was passed in the Republic of South Sudan?

PURE HYPOCRISY!

Now, 2013, two years to 2015, no one is talking about the inevitability of the impossibility of holding a general election in 2015. Yet, if and when the time comes, many among the MPs, civil society and the public would be up in arms accusing the president of being a dictator who wants to reign forever.

But where are those DEMOCRATS now? SPLM Convention? National Census? New Permanent Constitution? Funding? Reining in the unfettered powers of the president Etc.?

Just imagine, even the ruling party, SPLM, is yet to register as a political party in the Republic of South Sudan, technically making it illegal for it to have run in the last presidential election.

Forewarned is forearmed, Isaiah Chol could be testing the waters, who knows!

Hail Dikteta Kiir!

It is the government THEY DESERVE!

PaanLuel Wel.

————————————————————————————-

South Sudan electoral body confirms lack of fund to run 2015 elections

Oil dependence is South Sudan’s boon – and bane

By PaanLuel Wël

Read more: http://www.thenational.ae/business/industry-insights/economics/oil-dependence-is-south-sudans-boon-and-bane#ixzz2eV02XrOX
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Oil dependence is South Sudan’s boon – and bane

PaanLuel Wël

September 10, 2013

With a long track record of broken promises and dishonoured agreements, many South Sudanese are very sceptical about the durability of the recent oil agreement between South Sudan and Sudan.

Yet, because of the indispensability ofoil to the economies of the two countries, particularly South Sudan, most people in the country welcomed the announcement to reverse the threatened closure by Khartoum of a pipeline South Sundan relies on to export its oil via Port Sudan.

South Sudan now plans to increase crude output by 20 per cent to 200,000 barrels a day after reaching the agreement, the foreign affairs spokesman Mawien Makol Arik said last week.

“It’s good news for South Sudan,” Mr Arik said in the South Sudan capital, Juba. “The production of oil is going to go up to 200,000 barrels a day” from a current estimated output of 167,000 barrels, Bloomberg News reported.

The news came after a summit last week in Khartoum between South Sudan’s president Salva Kiir Mayardit and Sudan’s president Omar Al Bashir. Mr Al Bashir had accused South Sudan of backing rebels in his country fighting to overthrow him and had threatened to shut down the vital oil link by last Friday.

For South Sudan, where oil revenues amount to 98 per cent of the national budget and practically all its foreign hard currency, production disruptions have hammered the economy already.

GDP has shrunk from US$19.17 billion in 2011 to $9.33bn last year, according to the World Bank, and the summit was a last chance to avert complete economic disaster.

“It was the last opportunity for us to strike a workable deal with the government of the Sudan,” says Dual Chuol, a researcher at the central bank of South Sudan.

“We were prepared for the worst, though we know the accusation that we support the rebellion in the Sudan is nonsense.”

Barely two years old, the country’s economy is characterised by two sectors. The first is the informal sector, which comprises the majority of the approximately 10.8 million South Sudanese people, most of whom live in rural areas. It is dominated by traditional subsistence agriculture and livestock farming.

The formal sector, which comprises the government and international aid organisations, is dominated and financed by oil revenues plus donations from the aid groups.

The main economic challenge facing South Sudan is to use oil money to jump-start socioeconomic development and achieve political stability. But with more than half of the population living below the poverty line and more than 80 per cent still illiterate, it suffers from acute shortages of human and technological capacity with which it can fuel such development. It is a dire situation.

“It is hard to imagine South Sudan surviving economically for the next one year or so without oil revenue,” admits David Lohure, an official working at South Sudan national bureau of statistics in Juba.

As a former war-torn nation, South Sudan needs to build economic infrastructure from scratch. The introduction of an austerity budget following Juba’s 14-month shutdown of the oil sector from January last year amid claims of Sudan stealing oil transiting the country to Port Sudan has hurt prospects of that.

Since the industry restarted in April, Juba has sold about 9.1 million barrels of oil for US$969 million until the start of September, the oil ministry said last week. It had to pay $91m in fees for using pipelines crossing Sudan and for the use of Port Sudan port.

An extra $147m was paid as part of a package to compensate Sudan for the loss of most its oil reserves with secession. Juba needs to make this monthly payments to Sudan for more than two years yet.

To try to insulate itself from future potential economic peril, South Sudan wants to draw up an in-depth development plan for the creaking oil sector.

John Muor, from the newly restructured ministry of finance, concurs that, “there is a need to launch an oil reserves evaluation study to give us a very detailed understanding of the oil sector. We must know our oil potentials and what barriers there are to its exploitation and how we deal with them.”

But undertaking such a detailed analysis of the oil sector’s potential would require a huge investment in exploration and development of oilfields and South Sudan has neither the money nor the technological knowhow to do it. Thus, it has been wooing overseas oil investors to help finance a study.

However, the foreign oil companies that today dominate the country’s oil sector – the China National Petroleum Company (CNPC), Malaysia’s state oil firm Petronas and India’s national oil company ONGC Videsh – have not invested heavily.

“This is because South Sudan is facing dwindling oil reserves,” says Arnold Juma, a South Sudanese who works for Petronas.

“And with the uncertainty over the export pipeline [to Port Sudan] persisting and insecurity mounting in most parts of the country, there is no guarantee that these foreign oil investors would get good return.”

The history of oil and the conflict that it has fuelled, however, has always been connected to international oil companies. It was the US giant Chevron’s 1978 discovery of oil in the Sudan, and the controversy that generated, which triggered Sudan’s second civil war, its longest and deadliest, between Khartoum and southern nationalists.

“Foreign oil companies have been variously accused of committing atrocities – clearing oilfields areas of the local populations and facilitating the passage of Khartoum’s army through their feeder roads and vehicles – against the people of South Sudan,” claims Akuch Chol, an official at Nilepet, the only South Sudan state oil firm operating alongside foreign players.

Since independence, however, there has been a marriage of convenience between the foreign oil companies that had previously aligned themselves with Khartoum against the SPLM/A that now runs South Sudan and the rebel leaders of the SPLM/A bent on fighting foreign oil companies for aiding Khartoum. Overseas firms now produce and market South Sudan’s oil and take profits from the crude sold.

Despite last week’s accord, Khartoum could still issue threats to block the passage of South Sudan’s oil to Port Sudan.

As a consequence, many South Sudanese are pressing for the construction of an alternative oil pipeline to either Kenya or Djibouti.

The government of South Sudan has opened bids for the building of oil pipelines to transport the country’s crude oil exports, according to a report last month on the website of radiomariya.org, based in Juba.

The undersecretary in the ministry of finance, Wani Buyu, was quoted as saying priority would be given to companies bidding to construct pipelines to Djibouti, although lines to Lamu Port in Kenya would also be considered.

“The economy of South Sudan depends entirely on oil. We have been exporting the oil through Sudan’s pipelines, but as a landlocked country we want to have several alternatives,” he said.

“So we were thinking of having some other pipelines through our neighbouring countries, we planned to have one to Kenya through Lamu, and then we were also thinking of having another pipeline through Djibouti.”

Of course, such a plan requires raising a huge amount of money. Until that happens, if it ever does, Juba and Khartoum’s relationship remains crucial.

“Like co-joined twins, the two nations will either flourish together or wither away together,” says Bullen Chol, an official in the ministry of petroleum and mining in Juba.

“They might have separated politically but it is still a confederacy in term of their economies.”

PaanLuel Wël is the managing editor of PaanLuel Wël: South Sudanese Bloggers

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Desperate hope South Sudan’s dream does not become a nightmare

By PaanLuel Wël

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Desperate hope South Sudan’s dream does not become a nightmare

PaanLuel Wël

September 10, 2013

Has South Sudan already squandered the economic fortune it inherited from Khartoum – or can it revitalise its embattled oil sector?

Listening to South Sudanese, there is a strong sense of urgency that the government should adopt innovative measures to make South Sudan’s oil potential wealth work in the best interests of its citizens – fulfilling the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement and Army (SPLM/A) party’s promise made at South Sudan’s independence.

In April 2004, just a few months before the signing of the peace agreement between the Sudan government and the rebel SPLM/A that now runs South Sudan, the late SPLM leader, John Garang, laid down his vision for the new country in a booklet entitled The SPLM Strategic Framework For War-To-Peace Transition.

The document looked to an economic framework for prioritising agriculture as the engine of economic growth and poverty eradication. It was an ambitious idea.

“Our economic plan and development vision for an independent Southern Sudan was to use the oil revenues to fuel agriculture,” says Peter Chol, a former rebel fighter and currently an official at the ministry of finance and economic planning in Juba, South Sudan.

“Our slogan for socioeconomic and political development was to take the towns to people in the countryside rather than people to towns,” he adds.

“There was tremendous hope and great expectations among our people for independence, because they literally expected paradise on earth upon secession.”

Indeed, such sentiment is not hard to understand given that an independent South Sudan was expected to take about three-quarters of Sudan’s oil output. When independence came on July 9, 2011, there was a great fanfare and pride in the belief the hard-won political freedom would soon translate into tangible material benefits from South Sudan’s potentially vast amount of oil wealth.

An independent South Sudan was projected to produce about 350,000 barrels a day, enough to meet people’s expectations for peace and security via economic development.

Yet, two years on, those hopes have been dashed as its relationship with its northern neighbour has soured.

“We have been having serious disagreements with Khartoum over oil and the use of the export pipeline [to Port Sudan] and so we halted oil production temporarily,” Obwach William, a senior official at the South Sudan’s Nile Petroleum Corporation, the commercial arm of the ministry of petroleum and mining, said when Juba shut down production in January last year.

“They were stealing our oil and we had to take the necessary step, notwithstanding the centrality of oil revenues to our national budget and economic viability.”

The two sides are still in dispute over issues including rights to the oil-rich Abyei region straddling the border between the countries. Sudanese troops have been ambushed and killed there by local rebels and the area remains volatile.

Depressing as the economic situation might appear, many South Sudanese still believe their fledgling nation could yet turn its oil assets of about 7 billion barrels in proven reserves into positive economic change, particularly for the poorest. A number of informed economic policies, formulated in liaison with foreign oil companies and the Addis Ababa-based African Union (AU), could help South Sudan to reverse its fortunes and offer a better future for its stressed people.

But it will not be easy.

South Sudan faces the stark reality of declining oil production by 2015, a very limited time to allow the diversification of the economy. Creating a secure and healthy environment for foreign oil companies would increase the chances of them investing to develop the oil sector more as well as finance alternative export routes, perhaps via Kenya.

“Foreign investment in the oil sector can assist us to finance not only an alternative oil pipeline but also oil exploration and field development in the vast unexplored areas of our country where there is great potential to discover commercially viable amounts of oil,” says Gatluak Dhol, a director general at the ministry of commerce in Juba.

For foreign oil companies to invest in the country, though, the government must do more to ensure security and curb economic malpractice. Joining the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative, an international body formed in 2002 that the US joined this year and which promotes transparency in resource-rich countries, was a commendable step. Juba is aware of its responsibility.

On Friday, following the agreement of Khartoum not to close the pipeline to Port Sudan, South Sudan’s oil minister Stephen Dhieu Dau said the government had an obligation under the Petroleum Act to make public information on oil production and sales. “I take this opportunity to express my optimism that the renewed spirit of cooperation between the South Sudan and Sudan will continue to guarantee the undisrupted flow of South Sudan crude oil to the international markets for the mutual benefit of both countries”, he was quoted as saying in the Sudan Tribune.

Many feel for South Sudan to survive and thrive, the governments of both countries must lead the way.

“There is no good chance of economic revival without political resolution,” says Justin Kenyi, a South Sudanese businessman who owns a construction company.

After two decades of civil war and two years of independence mired in economic meltdown, the government of South Sudan owes its people a debt that cannot be repaid until there is a substantial improvement in their everyday lives.

Otherwise, Mr Garang’s slogan of “using oil revenues to fuel agricultural growth” and of “taking town to the people in the countryside” will haunt the nation for years to come.

PaanLuel Wël is the managing editor of PaanLuel Wël: South Sudanese Bloggers

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By PaanLuel Wel.

Having spent almost a year now studying Dr. John Garang, I was intrigued recently when Mabior Garang de Mabior, on his Facebook Page, wrote something to the implication that he knew who might have killed the SPLM/A late leader, Dr. John Garang.

Yet, for some of us who have spent ample time exploring the question, there is more than meet the eye, more than we can suppose, to the death of Dr. John Garang. Of course, to say that it was an accident is just pure nonsense, sacrificing the truth on the altar of STABILITY and NORMALCY. Yet, the more one learns about the circumstances and events leading to his death, the more one is left even more confused: what was the mission about and why was he alone, without any of the SPLM/A top brass on this particular trip? Look at the last picture of Garang & M7 greetings before the flight: just weird, gloomy, tensed, why?

Below is one link which appears informative but far from certain.

http://www.hananews.org/WholeArticle.asp?artId=4665

The claim in that anonymous “Investigative Report” as the author puts it, is just one among the three main conspiracies milling around, one of which mentioned by Mabior, related to the death of John Garang.  Inasmuch as it may persuade some, beware that there are equally counterarguments, some of which are hard to dismiss — it was Museveni who came to the rescue of the Movement during the dark years of 1990s, after the Ethiopian Fiasco and the 1991 Nasir Coup. The reason cited in the “report” for the fallout is ‘trivial’

For instance, there is even now a conspiracy theory that the unfortunate plane ‘accident’ that killed Dim Deng and Justic Yac Arop is somehow part of the grand conspiracy: someone wanted to shut them up, for eternity. Implied herein is that they were somehow in-the-know and hard to be eliminated to preclude the “leak”. Yet, when John Garang passed away, the two gentlemen were — according to From Bush to Bush, a book by Steven Wondu — part of the SPLM/A group undergoing training in South Africa in readiness for the NEW SUDAN. Of course the allegation is inferred from the Minutes of the 2004 Rumbek Showdown between Garang and Salva.

Anyway, I am bringing this up, together with the link, because someone has been pestering me, wondering if Mabior Garang Mabior could be taken on his words. The point is that it is hard, still too early, to definitively name the killers of Dr. John Garang because there are so many leads pointing to (1) Khartoum, (2) Outsiders (3) Disgruntled Elements within the SPLM/A. I haven’t come across anything to validate the “accident” hypothesis. And YET, nothing is definitive; facts don’t just add up. Might take time, might take forever, but till then, we are better off speculating than ascertaining one position over the rest.

So let me advise my brother and comrade, Mabior Garang Mabior, to desist from public utterances regarding the untimely and mysterious death of Dr. John Garang, not least because it is a sensitive topic and we don’t wanna lose him but above all, we are all striving to unearth the truth no matter how long it might take us or our children’s children. John Garang is us and we are John Garang!!

By PaanLuel Wël, Juba City, South Sudan

President Kiir’s highly anticipated new restructured cabinet is out, with, at least so far, 19 cabinet ministers and 10 deputies, making a total of 29 cabinet members, in addition to the President and his yet-to-be appointed deputy. Study the analysis below in comparison to the previous cabinet that was replaced by this new one.

THE NEWLY RESTRUCTURED CABINET OF THE REPUBLIC OF SOUTH SUDAN:

(A)  List of the new Cabinet Ministers

 

s/n

National Ministries

Cabinet Ministers

Region from

State from

Previous Position

Party from

1

Ministry of Cabinet Affairs

Martin Elia Lomoro

Equatoria

Central Equatoria

Ministry of Animal Resources and Fisheries

Democratic Forum

2

Ministry of Defense and Veteran Affairs

Kuol Manyang Juuk

Upper Nile

Jonglei

Governor of Jonglei state

SPLM

3

Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation

Dr. Barnaba Marial Benjamin

Upper Nile

Jonglei

Ministry of Information and Broadcasting

SPLM

4

Minister in the office of the President

To be appointed later

5

Minister in the office of the President for National Security

Obote Mamur Mete

Equatoria

Eastern Equatoria

Deputy chief of staff for political and moral orientation

SPLM

6

Ministry of Justice

Telar Ring Deng

Bahr el Ghazal

Lakes

Presidential Advisor on Legal Affairs and Diplomatic Relations

SPLM

7

Ministry of Interior and Wildlife Conservation

Aleu Ayieny Aleu

Bahr el Ghazal

Warrap

Chairperson, Parliamentary Committee on Security

SPLM

8

Ministry of Finance, Commerce and Economic Planning

Aggrey Tisa Sabuni

Equatoria

Central Equatoria

Presidential Advisor on Economic Affairs (still affirmed in this position)

SPLM

9

Ministry of Labor, Public Service and Human Resource Development

Kwong Danhier Gatluak

Upper Nile

Unity

Deputy Minister for Labor, Public Service and Human Resource Development

SPLM

10

Ministry of Health

Dr. Riek Gai Kok

Upper Nile

Jonglei

MP for Akobo

NCP

11

Ministry of Information, Broadcasting, Telecommunication and Postal Services

Michael Makwei Lueth

Upper Nile

Jonglei

Parliamentary Affairs

SPLM

12

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, Tourism, Animal Resources, Fisheries, Cooperative and Rural Development

Beda Machar Deng

Bahr el Ghazal

Warrap

Deputy Minister for Agriculture and Forestry

SPLM

13

Ministry of Transport, Roads and Bridges

Simon Majok Mijak

Upper Nile

Unity

Deputy Minister for Roads and Bridges

SPLM

14

Ministry of Education, Science and Technology

Prof. John Gai Yoh

Upper Nile

Upper Nile

RSS Ambassador to SA/Turkey

SPLM

15

Ministry of Land, Housing and Physical Planning

Jemma Nunu Kumba

Equatoria

Western Equatoria

Housing and Physical Planning

SPLM

16

Ministry of Petroleum, Mining, Industry and Environment

Mr. Stephen Dhieu Dau

Upper Nile

Upper Nile

Commerce and Industry

SPLM

17

Ministry of Electricity, Dams Irrigation and Water Resources

Abdalla Deng Nhial

Upper Nile

Jonglei

Was in Khartoum,

PCP

18

Ministry of Gender, Child and Social Development

Awut Deng Acuil

Bahr el Ghazal

Warrap

Labour and Public Service

SPLM

19

Ministry of Culture, Youth and Sports

Ngor Kolong Ngor

Bahr el Ghazal

Northern Bahr el Ghazal

SPLM

(B)  List of the New Deputy Ministers

 

s/n

Deputy National Ministries

Deputy Cabinet Ministers

Region from

State from

Previous Position

Party from

1

Ministry of Justice

Paulino Wanawilla Onango

Equatoria

Central Equatoria

Deputy Minister for Justice

SPLM

2

Ministry of Interior and Wildlife Conservation

Jadalla Augustino Wani

Equatoria

Central Equatoria

Recently retired SPLA Army General

SPLM

3

Ministry of Finance, Commerce and Economic Planning

Kengen Jakor

Upper Nile

Jonglei

Deputy minister for Commerce, Industry and Investment

SPLM

Mary Jervas Yak

Bahr el Ghazal

Western Bahr el Ghazal

Deputy minister for Finance and Economics Planning

SPLM

4

Ministry of Information, Broadcasting, Telecommunication and Postal Services

Rebecca Joshua Okwachi

Upper Nile

Upper Nile

Deputy Minister for General Education and Instruction

SPLM

5

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, Tourism, Animal Resources, Fisheries, Cooperative and Rural Development

Nadia Arop Dudi

Upper Nile

Unity

Deputy Minister for Animal Resources and Fisheries

SPLM

6

Ministry of Transport, Roads and Bridges

Martin Tako

Equatoria

Western Equatoria

7

Ministry of Education, Science and Technology

Bol Makueng Yuol

Bahr el Ghazal

Lakes

SPLM Secretary for Information

SPLM

8

Ministry of Land, Housing and Physical Planning

Deng Arop Kuol

Bahr el Ghazal

Abyei

Former Chief Administrator of Abyei

SPLM

9

Ministry of Petroleum, Mining and Environment

Elizabeth James Bol

Bahr el Ghazal

Warrap

SPLM

(C) Summary of cabinet distribution at the Regional Level

s/n

Name of Region

No. of ministries

No. of Deputy Ministries

Total cabinet share

% Share of the Cabinet

% Share of the national population

1

Greater Upper Nile

9

3

12

42.86%

2.89M

35%

2

Greater Bahr el Ghazal

5

4

9

32.14%

2.73M

33%

3

Greater Equatoria

4

3

7

25.0%

2.64M

32%

Total

————

18

10

28

100%

8.26M

100%

(D) Summary of cabinet distribution at the State Level 

s/n

Name of State

No. of ministries

No. of Deputy Ministries

Total Cabinet share

% Share of the Cabinet

% Share of the National population

1

Jonglei

5

1

6

21.43%

1.36M

16.46%

2

Unity

2

1

3

10.71%

0.585M

7.08%

3

Upper Nile

2

1

3

10.71%

0.96M

11.62%

4

Warrap

3

2

5

17.86%

0.97M

11.74%

5

Lakes

1

1

2

7.14%

0.695M

8.41%

6

Northern Bahr el Ghazal

1

0

1

3.57%

0.72M

8.71%

7

Western Bahr el Ghazal

0

1

1

3.57%

0.33M

3.99%

8

Western Equatoria

1

1

2

7.14%

0.62M

7.50%

9

Central Equatoria

2

2

4

14.29%

1.10M

13.31%

10

Eastern Equatoria

1

0

1

3.57%

0.91M

11.01%

Total

———–

18

10

28

100%

8.26M

100% 

(E)  Summary of cabinet distribution According to the Major Political Forces in the Republic of South Sudan

s/n

Name of the Political Force

No. of ministries

No. of Deputy Ministries

Total cabinet share

% Share of the Cabinet

% Share of the national population

1

Dinka

10

3

13

46.43%

40-43%

2

Nuer

4

2

6

21.43%

16-20%

3

Greater Equatoria

4

3

7

24.99%

32%

4

The Fourth Forces

0

2

2

7.14%

6-10%

Total

————-

18

10

28

100%

100%

Let me say something about the last part on political forces in the Republic of South Sudan. For the uninitiated and political novices in the fluid interplay of power politics in the Republic of South Sudan, the last part, Part (E), may appear puzzling if not out-rightly subversive. Nonetheless, it is the practical, real aspect of and to it. There are four major political forces in the Republic of South Sudan: first is the Dinka, second the Nuer, third the Greater Equatoria and the Fourth Forces are the minority groups such as the Murle, the Shilluk, the Anyuak, the Fertit, the Luo among others. Cabinet selection and other touchy national undertakings should be based on the reality of the four major political forces because disgruntlement on or contentment with any decision taken from J-1 is invariably rationalise on the extent to which the interests of these political forces are taken care of according to their proportional national population. This is the true meaning of justice, of fairness and the essence of equality. Anything else is just but a smokescreen, a dangerous recipe for national disaster.

Take for instance how decisions are made and taken in J-1. Have you ever pondered how on Earth Benydit made his seminal decisions before they are decreed? I mean, what guide his political decisions and actions and how do we judge his pronouncements: based on what? Merit and Competence you may venture but what determine merit and competence in a country like South Sudan? Corruption. If merit is about quality education and enviable CV, then it is all determined by money and connections. Who has money and connections? The 75 Mafia. Merit and Competence is therefore another way to feed and nourish the beast of corruption because if you are not VERY corrupt like the 75, it is highly unlikely for you to gain veritable MERIT and incontrovertible COMPETENCE. You need money to procure good education and strong, deep connections to gain experience and competence. Unfortunately, the sons and daughters of the most corrupt are the ones going to the best schools because they have the money and would be the one to get the necessary experiences and thus competence because of their daddy/mummy’s connections.

Constitution in its current forms and in whatever form it might later metastasize into is useless because it is not being followed, and worse still, it is irrelevant to our political situation since it is based on an alien notion of power politics. So? So we need to invent a new way, a better stratagem to manage the country, to make seminal political decisions such as cabinet selection; we need a yardstick not just to guide Benydit in his decision-making but also as a benchmark to reproach or praise his actions and pronouncements. We need to identify what tick, what is relevant, local, useful, effective, and generative insofar as our quest for fairness, justice, equality, peace and national harmony is the cornerstone to our economic development, political stability and social prosperity. If fairness, justice, equality, peace and national harmony are to be the solid pillars of our national consciousness, molding and integration, then we must stop burying our head in the sand in the name of making cabinet appointments and other national decisions on the purported rationale of “merit and competence”, which, sadly, in most cases than not, is not even remotely adhered to. It give one person, in the statue of the presidency, unwarranted powers and influence to satiate his unnational whims.

What we need is not democracy per se but REALISM and PRACTICALITY and EFFECTIVENESS. While there is absolutely nothing wrong with the concept of democracy as theoretically conceived, it is simply unrealistic, impractical and ineffective in South Sudan and across Sub-Saharan Africa for that matter. It has been a monumental failure since the 1960s. It needs to be Africanized, localized, South-Sudanized, negotiated, reformed, re-channeled etc. so as to make it relevant to the socio-political fabric of South Sudan political substructure. One effective, practical and relevant method to do that is to identify the reality of the political situation in South Sudan through the major political forces that drive and influence political wave, direction, depth and intensity. In the just decreed cabinet apportionments, what everyone rushes to find out about individuals picked is neither their competence, the merit of their respective appointments nor their democratic credentials. Rather, it is the political force those individuals hail from: are they Dinkas, Nuers, Greater Equatorians or from the Fourth Forces. This is why the most controversial aspect of the newly restructured cabinet is the appointment of three full cabinet ministers from one county: Bor county. Why is it a big deal? Aren’t they qualified? They are. Weren’t they picked on merit? Possibly all were. But still, something just reeks about the decision: where they hail from.

Put simply, let’s stop the destructive pretense of being a democratic republic of South Sudan where a democratically elected president has the mandate and confidence of the people to make decisions that put food on our table, send our kids to school, fund our economic infrastructure and social amenities, safeguard our national sovereignty and territorial integrity among others. It isn’t working and it will not work. And it has nothing to do with Kiir as the current president or Riek or Pagan or Wani or Nyandeng as the aspirants: it is systemic. It is not about leadership nor about our prized procedural democracy, it is about the impracticality, the irrelevancy and the ineffectiveness of the essence of the current political system.

To hell with procedural democracy that does not bring political stability, economic development and social prosperity; to hell with the constitution that is not worth the paper it is written on; to hell with the presidential system where cabinet appointments become somebody favors to bestow whimsically without due regards to the reality of our political situation based on the four major political forces in the country; to hell with the useless political parties that make mockery of democracy, but above all, to hell with our intellectuals who parrot and ape undigested foreign ideas with no relevancy, practicality and usefulness to the reality of our socio-political and economic growth.

Our political parties should be the Four Political Forces; our political ideology Tribocracy and our economic philosophy Humanistic Socialism—comrades in suffering, in death and in social prosperity.